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Cerulean Bay

Cerulean Bay has had a career built on quiet consistency rather than fireworks. The 5-year-old has won 7 of 33 races — roughly 1 win in every 5 attempts — and has already proved himself capable at the highest levels that most horses ever reach, with three top-class wins to his name. What makes him interesting is not the raw record but where and how he wins.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
New Bay
Mother
Kathy Sun
Trainer
D O'Meara
Owner
Nick Cable
Rating
105

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
33
Career races
7
Wins
21.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The horse is a creature of habit, and that habit has made him dangerous on certain tracks. He absolutely loves Goodwood, where he has won two of his three races there, most recently in October 2024. He is also partial to slightly soft or muddy ground — in fact, he has won two of three races on that surface, which suggests he thrives when conditions become testing. His trainer, D O'Meara, noted that dropping him back to seven furlongs seemed to unlock something, and that he handles bends well and possesses genuine toughness. Jockey Danny Tudhope, who has partnered him for three wins from eight races together (a 38% win rate), spoke after one victory about Cerulean Bay's relentless attitude: "If something comes to him, he keeps going." That grit shows in his record at Class 2 level, where he has won 3 of 13 races despite competing against stronger rivals.

The fly in the ointment is timing. Cerulean Bay has not won in his last six races, though he has picked up a couple of places, and his recent form reads 12-9-2-4-8-5. That said, he raced just yesterday, meaning he is very much active and presumably being aimed at races where his preferences — favourable ground, a track with bends, a Class 2 contest — align. When O'Meara and Tudhope get those variables right, Cerulean Bay is capable of delivering. The question now is whether his yard can engineer another winning opportunity before he drifts further away from that Goodwood moment last autumn.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
Effective partnership with Daniel Tudhope: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 12 starts
Yet to win at Ascot in 7 attempts
Yet to win at York in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 Aug
12th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
8 Aug
9th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
31 Jul
2nd
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 22 runners
26 Jul
4th
Pontefract
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
11 Jul
8th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
17 Jun
5th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 30 runners
14 May
2nd
York
7f – 1m · Good · 19 runners
25 Apr
4th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
29 Oct
3rd
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
18 Oct
13th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 20 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 third, 5 other 25 Apr 14.3%
Ascot
Galloping
7 2 seconds, 5 other 8 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
5 2 seconds, 3 other 20 Aug 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
3 2 wins, 1 second 31 Jul 66.7%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 wins 30 Aug 100%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 win 10 Jul 100%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 win 21 Jun 100%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 other 26 Jul 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Sep 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 third 29 Oct 0%