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Cerulean Bay

Seven wins from 27 races makes Cerulean Bay a horse who earns his keep — he wins roughly 1 in every 4 times he runs, which at the level he competes at is genuinely solid. That level is worth flagging: three of his seven wins have come in Class 2 races, which are among the better contests in Britain. These aren't soft touches. Beating good horses, consistently, takes something.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
New Bay
Mother
Kathy Sun
Owner
Nick Cable
Rating
103

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
27
Career races
7
Wins
25.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
48.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes his recent form particularly striking is the Goodwood double. He won there on 24 September 2025 and again on 12 October 2025, both times at Class 2. Winning the same prestigious track twice in three weeks suggests more than luck — it suggests a horse who genuinely suits something about the place, whether that's the famous sweeping bend at Goodwood or the distance he's now running over. Trainer David O'Meara, one of the sharpest operators in the north of England, pointed out that dropping Cerulean Bay back to seven furlongs seems to have been the turning point. Before that tweak, there was a run in Ireland where he pulled up lame — a worrying sign that could have ended his season. It didn't. He came back and went on a run.

The partnership with jockey Daniel Tudhope is worth noting. The two have worked together in seven races and won three of them — that's winning 43 of the time, or 3 in every 7, which is a remarkable hit rate. When Tudhope rode him at Thirsk in August 2024 — Cerulean Bay's widest draw in the field, a position that usually hands other horses an advantage — the horse simply refused to let that matter. "If something comes to him, he keeps going," Tudhope said afterwards. That attitude is what separates horses who occasionally win from horses who keep winning.

O'Meara's yard has sent out 107 winners already this season, so there's no shortage of quality coming out of Upper Helmsley. The fact that Cerulean Bay still finds his way into the spotlight in that environment says plenty about him. He raced just one day ago and remains active, a five-year-old who looks like he's hitting a rich vein of form at exactly the right time of his career.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Effective partnership with Daniel Tudhope: 43% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
Yet to win at Ascot in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 May
2nd
York
7f – 1m · Good · 19 runners
25 Apr
4th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
29 Oct
3rd
Nottingham
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
18 Oct
13th
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 20 runners
12 Oct
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 15 runners
24 Sep
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
21 Aug
2nd
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 18 runners
9 Aug
2nd
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
26 Jul
16th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good · 22 runners
5 Jul
7th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Daniel Tudhope Current Jockey
42.9%
Win rate
3/7
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Haydock Park
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 third, 5 other 25 Apr 14.3%
Ascot
Galloping
5 2 seconds, 3 other 18 Oct 0%
York
Galloping
3 2 seconds, 1 other 14 May 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
2 2 wins 30 Aug 100%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 wins 12 Oct 100%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 win 21 Jun 100%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 win 10 Jul 100%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 third 29 Oct 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Sep 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%