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Capital Guarantee

Capital Guarantee is a steady campaigner who has found his level and knows exactly where to win. The 6-year-old has taken 7 races from 41 outings—a respectable record for a horse of his grade—and has won roughly 1 in every 5 races overall. What makes him genuinely useful, though, is how selective his form is. At Thirsk, he is a different animal entirely: 3 wins from 7 races there means he wins more than 40 percent of his races at that track. His most recent success came just four weeks ago at Thirsk, suggesting he remains sharp and competitive.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Lope De Vega
Mother
Promised Money
Owner
Eagle Racing
Rating
79

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
41
Career races
7
Wins
17.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
31.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Ground conditions suit him markedly. On fast, dry ground, Capital Guarantee wins roughly 1 in every 3 or 4 races (4 wins from 15), a significantly better rate than his overall average. This is the kind of pattern that makes him valuable to his the yard—a horse worth following when the track is firm and the meeting is at his favored course. He typically races in Class 4 events, where he has won 4 of his 16 starts, exactly matching his overall win rate at that level.

David O'Meara's Upper Helmsley yard has sent out 101 winners this season, and Capital Guarantee has been a steady contributor since his debut win at Musselburgh on 25 July 2023. Daniel Tudhope, his most frequent jockey, has won 3 of 8 races together—a 38 percent partnership win rate that suggests real understanding between horse and rider. Recent form shows inconsistency, with only one top-three finish in his last six races, but he raced just yesterday, so he remains an active and available prospect. For those chasing value at Thirsk on a dry day, Capital Guarantee is a name worth remembering.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 4 wins from 15 starts (27%)
Course specialist at Thirsk: 3 wins from 7 starts (43%)
Effective partnership with Daniel Tudhope: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at Beverley in 7 attempts
Yet to win at York in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Aug
6th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
8 Aug
6th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
16 Jul
🏆 Won
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
4 Jul
6th
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
13 Jun
14th
York
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 17 runners
30 May
9th
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
16 May
12th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
23 Apr
2nd
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
29 Mar
14th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
11 Oct
8th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 20 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Mark Winn Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Thirsk
Galloping
7 3 wins, 1 second, 3 other 16 Jul 42.9%
Beverley
Undulating
7 1 second, 1 third, 5 other 4 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
5 5 other 13 Jun 0%
Ripon
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 15 Aug 33.3%
Dundalk
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 14 Dec 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 2 May 50%
Chester
Tight
2 2 other 13 Sep 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 other 9 Aug 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 win 28 Aug 100%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 win 23 Apr 100%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 5 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Mar 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Nov 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Mar 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Sep 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Aug 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 22 May 0%