Capital Guarantee

The most striking number in Capital Guarantee's record is what happens when Daniel Tudhope gets the leg up. The pair have won 3 of their 8 races together — that is 38%, or just under 2 in every 5 races. For context, a trainer winning 1 in 5 is considered a strong rate; a jockey-horse combination winning closer to 2 in 5 is the kind of stat that makes people sit up. Tudhope is one of the most respected riders in the north, and Capital Guarantee clearly brings out something close to his best.

The horse also has a genuine affinity with fast, dry ground — 3 wins from 11 races in those conditions, which works out at 27%, or roughly 1 in 4. That might not sound dramatic, but compare it to the overall record and it becomes clear that dry ground is when Capital Guarantee is most dangerous. Thirsk is the track to watch: 2 wins from 6 races there, which for a horse competing mostly at Class 4 level — one step below the feature races — represents genuine course form rather than coincidence.

The last win came at Ripon on 16 August 2025, now nine months ago, and the recent form figures of 12-2-14-8-13-9 tell a mixed story — a promising second in there, but also some well-beaten efforts. Capital Guarantee raced just one day ago, so this is a horse in the thick of an active campaign. The winless run across the last six races will not worry the yard unduly given the level this horse competes at, but the combination of dry ground, a Thirsk entry, and Tudhope in the saddle is the set of circumstances that could end that drought in a hurry.