Capital Guarantee
Capital Guarantee is a steady campaigner who has found his level and knows exactly where to win. The 6-year-old has taken 7 races from 41 outings—a respectable record for a horse of his grade—and has won roughly 1 in every 5 races overall. What makes him genuinely useful, though, is how selective his form is. At Thirsk, he is a different animal entirely: 3 wins from 7 races there means he wins more than 40 percent of his races at that track. His most recent success came just four weeks ago at Thirsk, suggesting he remains sharp and competitive.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
31.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
Ground conditions suit him markedly. On fast, dry ground, Capital Guarantee wins roughly 1 in every 3 or 4 races (4 wins from 15), a significantly better rate than his overall average. This is the kind of pattern that makes him valuable to his the yard—a horse worth following when the track is firm and the meeting is at his favored course. He typically races in Class 4 events, where he has won 4 of his 16 starts, exactly matching his overall win rate at that level.
David O'Meara's Upper Helmsley yard has sent out 101 winners this season, and Capital Guarantee has been a steady contributor since his debut win at Musselburgh on 25 July 2023. Daniel Tudhope, his most frequent jockey, has won 3 of 8 races together—a 38 percent partnership win rate that suggests real understanding between horse and rider. Recent form shows inconsistency, with only one top-three finish in his last six races, but he raced just yesterday, so he remains an active and available prospect. For those chasing value at Thirsk on a dry day, Capital Guarantee is a name worth remembering.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 4 wins from 15 starts (27%)
✔ Course specialist at Thirsk: 3 wins from 7 starts (43%)
✔ Effective partnership with Daniel Tudhope: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Beverley in 7 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at York in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
15 Aug
6th
Ripon
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 11 runners
8 Aug
6th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
16 Jul
🏆 Won
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
4 Jul
6th
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
13 Jun
14th
York
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 17 runners
30 May
9th
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
16 May
12th
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
23 Apr
2nd
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
29 Mar
14th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
11 Oct
8th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 20 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Thirsk Galloping |
7 |
3 wins, 1 second, 3 other |
16 Jul |
42.9% |
| Beverley Undulating |
7 |
1 second, 1 third, 5 other |
4 Jul |
0% |
| York Galloping |
5 |
5 other |
13 Jun |
0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
3 |
1 win, 1 third, 1 other |
15 Aug |
33.3% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
3 |
1 second, 1 third, 1 other |
14 Dec |
0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
2 May |
50% |
| Chester Tight |
2 |
2 other |
13 Sep |
0% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
9 Aug |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 win |
28 Aug |
100% |
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
1 |
1 win |
23 Apr |
100% |
| Cork Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
5 May |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
29 Mar |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
13 Nov |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
26 Mar |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
28 Sep |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
23 Sep |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
8 Aug |
0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
22 May |
0% |