Cairdeas
Cairdeas is a four-year-old who knows what winning feels like — he just hasn't managed to repeat it for a while. His one career victory came at Newmarket back in August 2024, now 21 months ago, and since then he has gone six races without finding the winner's enclosure again. Across 15 races in total, he has won just once and placed four times, a win rate of around 1 in every 14 runs. That is a modest record, but there are reasons to think the best of him may not have been seen yet.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Owner
Colin Alton & P T Midgley
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
26.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
Paul Midgley, who trains out of Westow in North Yorkshire, only recently acquired Cairdeas after buying him from the highly regarded William Haggas yard. Midgley has been in good form this season, sending out 39 winners, and he is already forming a clear picture of what this horse needs. He noted that Cairdeas travelled well over seven furlongs at York but likely ran out of stamina before the line — a horse who looks good until the race gets serious is often simply running at the wrong trip. Midgley's plan is to bring him back to six furlongs, where he expects him to be more competitive, and he believes there is more improvement to come as the horse matures.
That reads as a genuine signal worth paying attention to. Cairdeas has done his best work over seven furlongs to a mile, winning 1 of his 8 races at that range, but the trainer's view is that the distance has actually been stretching him. Dropping to six furlongs could reframe him entirely. Tom Marquand has been in the saddle for seven of his fifteen races and they have won together once, a partnership that has clicked before even if it has not clicked lately. Most of his racing has come at Class 4 level — a solid but unspectacular tier — where he has managed 1 win from 11 attempts. He raced just yesterday, so he is clearly fit and active. The question now is whether a change of distance unlocks something a bit more interesting.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 5 starts (20%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 12% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
16 May
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
14 Oct
12th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
25 Sep
6th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
26 Aug
4th
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
26 Jul
12th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
3 Jul
8th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
20 Jun
4th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
31 May
19th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 22 runners
11 May
4th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 13 runners
17 Apr
3rd
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Newmarket Galloping |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
20 Jun |
33.3% |
| York Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
26 Jul |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
16 May |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
14 Oct |
0% |
| Ripon Sharp |
2 |
1 third, 1 other |
26 Aug |
0% |
| Great Yarmouth Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
22 May |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
3 Jul |
0% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
1 |
1 other |
25 Sep |
0% |
| Salisbury Undulating |
1 |
1 third |
11 Jun |
0% |