Bizarre Law

Herrington's operation is having a productive season — 33 winners sent out so far, which suggests a yard running in good order — and Bizarre Law is doing its bit. The overall record of 4 wins and 11 places from 41 races (roughly 1 in every 10 races won) might not look spectacular on paper, but context matters. This is a horse that competes regularly at Class 6, the entry level of British racing, where fields are competitive and margins are tight. Winning 1 of 11 races at that level — about 9% — is perfectly respectable for a horse operating in the thick of the journeyman game.

What is more encouraging is the recent run of form. Looking at the last six races in reverse order, the sequence reads: a win, a fourth, a third, then a ninth, an eleventh, and a blank. In plain terms, Bizarre Law has gone from struggling to find its rhythm to suddenly clicking into gear — that win at Doncaster this week is the peak of a genuine upturn, not a one-off.

The sweet spot in terms of distance is somewhere between seven furlongs and a mile. Over that range, Bizarre Law has won 2 of 9 races — a win rate of 22%, or just over 1 in 4 — which is noticeably better than its overall record. That kind of course-and-distance preference is genuinely useful information; trainers and jockeys will keep coming back to that range because the evidence says it suits the horse.

Speaking of jockeys, David Probert has built up the most meaningful partnership in the saddle, riding Bizarre Law 11 times and winning twice — an 18% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 6 rides together. That is well above the horse's overall average and suggests the two have developed an understanding worth keeping. With the Doncaster win still fresh and form pointing upward, Bizarre Law is worth watching over the coming weeks.