:

Bear To Dream

There is a horse in Michael Attwater's Epsom yard that has made Brighton its personal playground. Bear To Dream has won 4 of its 19 races at the Sussex track — a remarkable record that stands well above anything it has managed elsewhere, and one that tells you almost everything you need to know about what this horse is and where it thrives.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodi Bear
Mother
Wind In Her Sails
Owner
Dare To Dream Racing
Rating
55

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
53
Career races
5
Wins
9.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
39.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

At seven years old, Bear To Dream has built a career almost entirely at the modest end of the sport, competing in the lowest tier of British racing and winning 5 races from 53 — roughly 1 in every 10. That is not a horse that wins often, but it is a horse that has learned when and where to put its best foot forward. Four of those five victories have come at Brighton, a track famous for its tight, downhill bends and undulating straight — a quirky little circuit that suits some horses like a glove and baffles others entirely. Bear To Dream first struck there on 31 May 2022, and kept going back to raid the same till.

Ground matters too. On dry, fast ground Bear To Dream has won 3 times from 18 races — just under 1 in 6 — and on normal conditions it has an even better record, winning 2 from just 8 attempts, or 1 in 4. That combination of a specialist track and a preference for decent ground is a useful recipe, the kind of thing that lets a small, consistent yard like Attwater's — which has already sent out 27 winners this season — plot a horse's season carefully and aim it at spots where it can genuinely compete.

Recent form has been quieter. Bear To Dream has not won in its last six races, finishing sixth, seventh, eighth, fourth, second and sixth going back through the record, and its last victory came at Chepstow in July 2025. But it raced just yesterday, so there is no suggestion of anything wrong — just a horse in a slight trough, waiting for the right conditions and the right course. William Carson, who partners it most regularly, has won just 1 of their 17 races together, which suggests the combination is still searching for its best result at the right moment.

The story of Bear To Dream is essentially the story of knowing your limits and making the most of what you have — a Brighton specialist, a dry-ground performer, and a yard patient enough to keep finding the right opportunity.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 3 wins from 18 starts (17%)
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
Course specialist at Brighton: 4 wins from 19 starts (21%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 22 starts
Yet to win at Lingfield Park in 12 attempts
Yet to win at Wolverhampton in 8 attempts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 12 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Firm (dry)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
19 May
6th
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
8 Dec
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
25 Nov
4th
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 12 runners
5 Nov
8th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
16 Oct
7th
Brighton
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
22 Sep
5th
Leicester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
13 Sep
2nd
Lingfield Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
19 Aug
2nd
Brighton
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
8 Aug
4th
Brighton
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
17 Jul
🏆 Won
Chepstow
7f – 1m · Good · 5 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
5.9%
Win rate
1/17
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/9
Won / Rode
Ryan Kavanagh
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Jack Dace
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rhiain Ingram
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Millie Wonnacott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Brighton
Undulating
19 4 wins, 4 seconds, 4 thirds, 7 other 16 Oct 21.1%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
12 3 seconds, 1 third, 8 other 19 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
8 1 second, 1 third, 6 other 7 Oct 0%
chelmsford 4 1 third, 3 other 8 Mar 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 17 Jul 50%
Bath
Undulating
2 1 third, 1 other 17 May 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 2 other 5 Nov 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%