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Bay Breeze

Bay Breeze has spent seven years in racing without ever quite becoming the horse his the yard hoped for when he trotted up impressively at Ripon back in April 2022. That debut win came on soft ground — a clue to what would become his defining characteristic. He has won 7 races from 55 starts, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races, and at seven years old he remains active but stuck in a rut. His most recent outing came just a day ago, and he has not won in his last six races, finishing nowhere worse than seventh but increasingly settling for placing money rather than victory.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Buratino
Mother
Midnight Mojito
Owner
Mr D A West & Partner
Rating
60

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
55
Career races
7
Wins
12.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The pattern is unmistakable: Bay Breeze is a wet-ground horse. On soft or muddy ground he wins roughly 1 in every 3 races (4 wins from 12), a win rate that becomes genuinely impressive when you compare it to his overall record. On faster, drier ground his chances evaporate almost entirely. Early in his career, trainer Tim Easterby, who runs a powerful yard at Great Habton in North Yorkshire, noted that firmer conditions simply did not suit him — and that observation has held true ever since. Bay Breeze is most often ridden by David Allan, and together they have found the winner's circle 5 times from 29 races, a 17% win rate that hints at what the partnership can achieve when conditions are right.

The real problem is that Bay Breeze has drifted into Class 4 company — the lower rungs of British racing — where he has managed just 1 win from 22 races. His last victory came at Carlisle on soft ground back in May 2025, now fourteen months in the past. He is no longer the horse who impressed at Ripon, but he remains useful in the right circumstances. On wet days at a track that suits him, with Allan aboard, he is worth watching. In the meantime, he soldiers on, a reliable if unspectacular part of Easterby's busy yard, waiting for the rain to fall.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 4 wins from 12 starts (33%)
Course specialist at Ripon: 4 wins from 13 starts (31%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Yet to win at York in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Right-handed, hilly
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 Aug
6th
Thirsk
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
9 Jul
4th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
9 Jun
4th
Carlisle
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
3 Jun
3rd
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
18 May
7th
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners
13 Apr
6th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
23 Oct
11th
Nottingham
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 17 runners
29 Sep
2nd
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Soft · 7 runners
22 Sep
9th
Leicester
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
12 Sep
15th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
17.2%
Win rate
5/29
Won / Rode
Duran Fentiman Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Amie Waugh
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ripon
Sharp
13 4 wins, 2 thirds, 7 other 3 Jun 30.8%
Thirsk
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 1 Aug 16.7%
Carlisle
Undulating
5 1 win, 1 third, 3 other 9 Jul 20%
York
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 26 Jul 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
4 1 second, 1 third, 2 other 29 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 23 Oct 33.3%
Leicester
Sharp
3 3 other 13 Apr 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 1 third, 2 other 6 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 12 Sep 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 2 Nov 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Sep 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Beverley
Undulating
1 1 other 14 Sep 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 27 May 0%