The slight dip from 3% last year to 2% this season is worth keeping in perspective. The difference between those two figures, across 51 runners, is essentially one or two horses. A single lucky break — a horse peaking at the right moment, a race falling apart for everyone else — and the picture looks meaningfully different. Small yards operate on thin margins, and Lynch is no exception.
Her most reliable ally in the saddle has been Rory Cleary, though their partnership of 25 rides together has produced just the 1 win — a rate of around 1 in every 25. That is modest, but the volume of rides suggests a working relationship built on trust rather than just opportunism, which tends to matter more in the long run. The horse that has given Lynch her most notable moment is Arctic Steps, winning 1 of their 5 races together — and in a small operation, a horse you keep running and keep believing in says something about how the yard approaches its work.
One detail that stands out is her record on normal ground — 1 win from 18 races at a 6% rate. That is three times better than her overall seasonal average, suggesting that when conditions are straightforward, Lynch and her horses are meaningfully more competitive. It is a small sample, but it is the kind of pattern worth watching as her string develops.
Lynch is still early in her career, and 2021 is not so long ago. The trainers worth following are not always the ones with the biggest numbers right now — sometimes they are the ones quietly accumulating experience, learning which horses need what, and waiting for the operation to click. She is not there yet, but the foundations are being laid.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk | 13 | 0 | 0% |
| The Curragh | 8 | 0 | 0% |
| Gowran Park | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Naas | 6 | 0 | 0% |
| Down Royal | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Navan | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Fairyhouse | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Leopardstown | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Killarney | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Roscommon | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% |