Youarenotforgiven

The most striking number in this horse's record is what happens when it turns up at Leicester. Three wins from just 4 races at that track is a remarkable return — winning 3 in every 4 visits to a course is the kind of statistic that makes trainers keep going back. Tony Carroll, who runs a busy and productive yard in Cropthorne, Worcestershire — 136 winners in the current season alone — clearly knows exactly where this horse thrives. Carroll has spoken about how well Youarenotforgiven handles Leicester, winning there over a mile off a mark of 73, and while he has considered taking the horse to other venues, there is an obvious logic to sticking with what works.

Normal ground suits this horse best. On a standard surface, Youarenotforgiven has won 5 of 12 races — a win rate of 42%, or nearly 1 in every 2. That is the kind of figure that makes ground conditions a serious consideration on race day. It competes most regularly at Class 4 level, winning 3 of 16 races at that grade, which is a solid if unspectacular 19%, roughly 1 in 5. The real upside comes when everything clicks — the right course, the right ground, the right distance.

Jockey Jack Doughty has been the most regular partner, riding in 11 of the horse's races together and winning 2 of them — around 1 in every 5.5 rides. That is a steady rather than spectacular partnership, but there is clearly enough there to keep the relationship going. With the horse raced as recently as yesterday and still in the thick of things at eight years old, Youarenotforgiven is making a convincing argument that age is just a number — and that Leicester, in particular, has not yet seen the last of it.