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Welsh Charger

Welsh Charger is the kind of horse that rewards patience — and has been testing plenty of it lately. The eight-year-old has built a solid career record of 6 wins and 8 places from 20 races, which works out at roughly 3 in every 10 races won, but he hasn't been to the winner's enclosure in his last six outings. That's the headline, but it doesn't tell the whole story.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Westerner
Mother
Answer Ur Phone
Owner
Jones, Spiers & Hartwell
Rating
131

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
6
Wins
30%
Win rate
avg ~10%
40%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most important thing to understand about Welsh Charger is where he's capable of performing on a big day. In February 2025, he won a Class 2 race at Musselburgh — one of the better races in Britain — which is the ceiling of what most horses at this level ever reach. It showed that on the right day, in the right conditions, he belongs at a higher level than his usual outings suggest. He particularly thrives on wet, muddy ground, where he has won 2 of his 3 races, a 67% record that tells you this horse is a completely different animal when the rain comes. His trainer, Alastair Ralph, operates a busy yard out of Bridgnorth in Shropshire and has sent out 25 winners this season alone — Welsh Charger is in capable hands.

Ludlow, just down the road from home, is where Welsh Charger first showed what he could do, winning there on debut back in February 2023 and adding a second win at the course since. Two wins from three races at any track is the kind of record that makes a horse worth following whenever the entries go up there. His most regular jockey, Jonathan Burke, brings out the best in him too — three wins from seven rides together, winning 43% of the time, is a combination any trainer would want to keep intact.

The recent form, though, needs some context. His last run ended before it started — he whipped round at the start at Musselburgh and unseated his jockey, which wrecked a carefully laid plan to use the race as a warm-up for the Cheltenham Festival. That was frustrating enough for trainer Alastair Ralph, who had the County Hurdle in his sights. With that disruption now behind them, the team has declared him for a race at Taunton on Thursday before heading to Cheltenham. After 15 months without a win, Welsh Charger is being aimed squarely at one of the biggest occasions in racing — and given what he did at Musselburgh, it would be a mistake to write him off.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
Effective partnership with Jonathan Burke: 43% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
18 Apr
7th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 10 runners
12 Feb
6th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
31 Jan
DNF
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
20 Dec
6th
Ascot
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
16 Nov
4th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 20 runners
10 May
14th
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 17 runners
12 Apr
5th
Ayr
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
1 Feb
🏆 Won
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
28 Dec
7th
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
1 Nov
🏆 Won
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
42.9%
Win rate
3/7
Won / Rode
42.9%
Win rate
3/7
Won / Rode
Ciaran Gethings Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jay Tidball
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ludlow
Undulating
3 2 wins, 1 second 23 Mar 66.7%
Musselburgh
Sharp
3 2 wins, 1 other 31 Jan 66.7%
Ayr
Galloping
2 2 other 18 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Dec 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 25 Nov 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 win 26 Dec 100%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 win 1 Nov 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Mar 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 10 May 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Nov 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Dec 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Apr 0%
Taunton
Undulating
1 1 other 12 Feb 0%