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Victoria Kesia

Five years old and still searching for a second win, Victoria Kesia is a horse that has made her the yard work hard for every inch of progress. Her record reads one win and five places from 17 races — that's a win rate of just 6%, or roughly one win in every 17 outings — but the story behind those numbers is a little more interesting than it first appears.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Territories
Mother
Kesia
Owner
Up & Running Syndicate

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
1
Wins
5.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
29.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That single win came at Limerick on 25 April 2025, and it remains the high point of her career so far. She has not won in her last six races since, and her recent form figures — 16, unplaced, 6, 10, unplaced, 12 — tell the story of a horse that occasionally gets close but is not currently finding a way back to the winner's enclosure. She raced just yesterday, so she is clearly an active, busy horse, and the yard is not hiding her away.

She is trained by John Joseph Hanlon, based in Bagenalstown, County Carlow, a yard that has sent out 11 winners already this season — so this is a stable capable of getting horses to win. Gary Carroll has been her regular jockey, riding her in 11 of her 17 races and steering her to that one win together. Between them they have won 1 from 11, which is roughly 9% — modest, but it tells you there is an established partnership here and that the team clearly believes in the combination.

Her best distance appears to be somewhere between a mile and a furlong and a mile and two furlongs. She has run 11 races at that range and won once, again at around 9%. It is not a dominant record, but it is where she has done all of her best work, and it is reasonable to expect that if a second win comes, it will come somewhere in that bracket. For a horse that has earned her place on the track without lighting the world on fire, Victoria Kesia is the kind of consistent, honest competitor that makes up the backbone of racing — and with 17 races already behind her at just five years old, there may yet be another day like that one at Limerick.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 9% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Poor record on soft_to_heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Gowran Park in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Soft to heavy (wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 May
16th
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 23 runners
11 Dec
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 8 runners
27 Nov
6th
Thurles
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
21 Oct
10th
The Curragh
1m1f – 1m2f · Heavy · 24 runners
28 Sep
DNF
The Curragh
1m3f – 1m4f · Yielding · 26 runners
16 Sep
12th
Punchestown
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Yielding · 17 runners
31 Jul
14th
Galway
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 21 runners
25 Apr
🏆 Won
Limerick
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 16 runners
16 Apr
6th
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 11 runners
2 Apr
4th
Gowran Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
9.1%
Win rate
1/11
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Anna McGuinness
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Gowran Park
Undulating
5 1 second, 1 third, 3 other 16 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
3 3 other 21 Oct 0%
Limerick
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 25 Apr 50%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Dec 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 second 7 Oct 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 24 Jun 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 31 Jul 0%
Thurles
Undulating
1 1 other 27 Nov 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 other 4 May 0%