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Tuba

There's a horse right now in the middle of a purple patch, and its name tells you nothing about what it's capable of on a racetrack. Tuba is a five-year-old trained by Fergal O'Brien out of Withington in Gloucestershire, and over a career of 23 races it has found the winner's enclosure three times and finished placed on eight other occasions — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 8 races overall. That sounds modest, but the last six outings tell a completely different story: two wins, three second places, and one fifth. In other words, Tuba has been nearly unbeatable lately, finishing first or second in five of its last six races.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Golden Horn
Mother
Iromea
Owner
Fergal O'Brien
Rating
65

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
23
Career races
3
Wins
13.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
34.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes this horse genuinely fascinating is what happens when it gets to Wolverhampton. That indoor all-weather track in the West Midlands is where Tuba has turned into something of a local legend — three wins from just six races there, which means it wins half the time it shows up. For context, Tuba wins roughly 1 in every 8 races across its whole career, so the fact that it wins 1 in 2 at Wolverhampton tells you this is a horse that absolutely loves that particular track. The most recent win came this week, on 11 May 2026, continuing a streak that started back on 22 December 2025.

The partnership with jockey Gina Mangan is worth highlighting too. In eight races together, they have won two — a win rate of 25%, or 1 in every 4 rides. That is almost double the horse's overall average, and it suggests the two have developed a real understanding. Mangan clearly knows how to get the best out of Tuba.

O'Brien's yard is operating at serious volume this season — 90 winners sent out already — so this is not a small operation scraping around for wins. Tuba typically competes at the lower levels of the sport, but on normal ground over a distance of a mile and three-quarters to two miles, it wins roughly 1 in every 3 races it enters. Those are numbers that any trainer would be pleased with. Right now, with Tuba raced as recently as yesterday and in the kind of form that makes it genuinely hard to beat at its favourite track, this is a horse worth paying attention to.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 3 wins from 10 starts (30%)
Course specialist at Wolverhampton: 3 wins from 6 starts (50%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 29% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 May
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
31 Mar
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
10 Mar
2nd
Wolverhampton
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 5 runners
10 Mar
2nd
Wolverhampton
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 5 runners
8 Feb
5th
chelmsford
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 7 runners
23 Jan
2nd
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 9 runners
7 Jan
3rd
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 12 runners
22 Dec
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 9 runners
6 Dec
4th
Wolverhampton
Long Distance (2m+) · Standard · 11 runners
22 Nov
DNF
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Gina Mangan Current Jockey
25%
Win rate
2/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wolverhampton
Galloping
6 3 wins, 2 seconds, 1 other 11 May 50%
Killarney
Sharp
2 2 other 16 Jul 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
2 2 other 11 Aug 0%
Navan
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Nov 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 second 23 Jan 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 2 Jun 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 8 Feb 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 other 28 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 third 7 Jan 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 third 7 Jul 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Nov 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Oct 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Mar 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Aug 0%