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Tripoli Flyer

There's a horse in Fergal O'Brien's yard in Gloucestershire that has quietly put together one of the more interesting CVs in jump racing over the past 14 months. Tripoli Flyer, a seven-year-old with four wins and nine places from 17 races, has won roughly 1 in every 4 races he's entered — a number that looks even more impressive when you consider where those wins have come from. Two of his four victories have been in top-level racing: a Class 2 at Musselburgh in February 2025, then just three weeks later a Class 1 win at Kempton Park. Winning one of the top races in Britain is the sort of thing most racehorses never manage. Tripoli Flyer has done it, and done it at pace.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
7 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Getaway
Mother
Collen Beag
Owner
Ismail El Magdoub
Rating
141

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
17
Career races
4
Wins
23.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
52.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The Kempton win is the one that made people sit up. After the race, O'Brien described him as having "a huge engine" and said jockey Jonathan Burke — who has won 3 of their 9 races together, roughly 1 in every 3 — felt he could switch him anywhere in the field and find speed on demand. That combination of tactical flexibility and a sharp late burst is genuinely rare, and it earned Tripoli Flyer serious consideration for the Supreme Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham, one of the most prestigious races in the jump season. O'Brien made no secret of his ambitions, though he was measured about it: he noted the horse had earned his chance, jumps slightly right-handed, and would benefit from good ground if the Festival was to happen.

It hasn't quite happened since. Tripoli Flyer hasn't won in his last six races, with a second and a third the only hints of that earlier form. His record on slightly soft, wet ground stands out — 2 wins from 5 races, a 40% win rate — but his most recent run came just yesterday, so this story is very much still being written. O'Brien's most recent thinking has him heading to Southwell for a mile-and-a-half race as a stepping stone, leaning on what he describes as genuine stamina over two miles and beyond. A yard that has sent out 90 winners this season isn't short of confidence, and a horse with two top-level wins on his record at the age of seven still has plenty to offer. The Kempton win may be 14 months ago, but it told you something real about what this horse can do when conditions fall right.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
2 May
3rd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 19 runners
8 Apr
4th
Nottingham
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 9 runners
13 Mar
8th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 24 runners
20 Feb
7th
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 14 runners
17 Jan
2nd
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
26 Dec
5th
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
17 Nov
4th
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
21 Oct
DNF
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 4 runners
2 May
3rd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 9 runners
4 Apr
6th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
3/9
Won / Rode
Paddy Brennan
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
Fern O'Brien Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 26 Dec 50%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 thirds 2 May 0%
Aintree
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 6 Nov 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 win 2 Feb 100%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 win 21 Jan 100%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 win 27 Nov 100%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Feb 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Apr 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Oct 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 other 17 Nov 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Jan 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Mar 0%