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Top Guy

There's a curious story buried in Top Guy's numbers. This six-year-old has raced 12 times and won twice, placing on 5 other occasions — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 races. That's not a headline figure on its own, but look at the last six races and something shifts into focus: two wins, two second places, and only one real disaster (that tenth-place finish sandwiched in the middle). For a horse that looked ordinary on paper not long ago, recent form tells a more interesting story.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Court Cave
Mother
Matt Wood
Owner
Jdj Racing
Rating
118

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
12
Career races
2
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
41.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first win came at Aintree in December 2025 — a track with genuine prestige and a crowd to match — and the most recent arrived at Newton Abbot in April 2026, just a fortnight ago. Two very different venues, which at least suggests Top Guy isn't a one-track wonder. The horse ran just yesterday, so the team are clearly keeping him busy while the form is good.

There is one detail here that deserves a second look. Top Guy's most regular rider is Harry Skelton, who has partnered him six times without a win between them. Zero from six. Yet the horse has won twice in its career. That means both victories have come with someone else in the saddle — an odd pattern when the yard's go-to jockey keeps getting the ride anyway. Whether that changes anytime soon is one of the more interesting questions hanging over the horse's next few runs.

That yard, incidentally, is Dan Skelton's operation out of Alcester in Warwickshire — one of the most prolific in the country right now, having sent out 194 winners already this season. When a team is operating at that kind of volume, individual horses can get overlooked, but Top Guy's back-to-back results suggest he's earned some attention. He's been running mainly at Class 4 level — solid, competitive racing without quite reaching the top tier — and has won 1 of his 3 races at that level, a rate of 1 in 3. If the recent momentum holds, a step up in class might be the next logical question.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Apr
6th
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
4 Apr
🏆 Won
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
15 Mar
2nd
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
14 Feb
10th
Ascot
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 18 runners
14 Jan
2nd
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 17 runners
6 Dec
🏆 Won
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
14 Nov
2nd
Southwell
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
5 Oct
12th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 16 runners
19 Sep
5th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
26 Feb
4th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/6
Won / Rode
Tristan Durrell Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newton Abbot
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 4 Apr 50%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 win 6 Dec 100%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 other 19 Apr 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Feb 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 second 14 Nov 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 other 9 Feb 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 24 Jan 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Feb 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 second 15 Mar 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 5 Oct 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 second 14 Jan 0%