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Thunderbear

There is a horse in Jack W Davison's yard in Dunboyne, Co Meath, that has quietly built a career worth paying attention to. Thunderbear is a six-year-old with 5 wins and 12 places from 34 races — that works out at roughly 1 win from every 7 outings, which sounds modest until you look at what those wins include. On 23 September 2023, Thunderbear won a Class 1 race at Newbury — one of the top races in Britain — and that single result changes the whole complexion of the career record. Most horses never get near that level. Thunderbear not only got there but won.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodi Bear
Mother
Speronella
Owner
William Armitage & Jwd Partnership
Rating
102

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
34
Career races
5
Wins
14.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
35.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The career started with a win at Fairyhouse in September 2022, and Davison's team has kept the horse competitive ever since. The yard is in decent form this season, sending out 8 winners, and Thunderbear raced just one day ago, so this is a horse very much in the thick of things. The most recent win came at Naas in October 2025, around seven months back, which means the winning thread is still live — this isn't a horse coasting on past glories.

The regular partnership with jockey Ronan Whelan tells an interesting story. Whelan has ridden Thunderbear in 10 races and produced 1 win together — 10%, or roughly 1 in every 10 rides. That is a working relationship rather than a celebrated one, though it is worth noting that Thunderbear's Class 1 victory at Newbury came without Whelan aboard, suggesting the horse has shown its best to more than one jockey. The one area that stands out as a genuine puzzle is the record at Class 2 level — 0 wins from 4 races. For a horse that has beaten the very best in a Class 1, being unable to win at one level below it is the kind of quirk that keeps racing interesting and keeps trainers thinking.

Recent form reads 11-6-1-5-blank-3, with that 1 being the Naas win. The blank in the sequence — a race with no recorded finish position — and a couple of mid-pack efforts suggest some inconsistency, but the horse is clearly still running well enough to be placed regularly. Twelve career places from 34 races means Thunderbear hits the frame more often than not. For a horse that once beat the best around at Newbury, there may well be another big day waiting.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at The Curragh in 7 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Heavy (very wet)
Yielding (slightly soft)
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Loves
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
27 Apr
11th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
4 Apr
6th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
11 Oct
🏆 Won
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 11 runners
6 Sep
5th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 16 runners
29 Jun
DNF
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 28 runners
7 Jun
3rd
Navan
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
9 Nov
3rd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
12 Oct
2nd
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 9 runners
5 Oct
2nd
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
17 Aug
7th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
10%
Win rate
1/10
Won / Rode
James Ryan Current Jockey
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Bauyrzhan Murzabayev
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
7 1 second, 6 other 29 Jun 0%
Naas
Galloping
6 1 win, 1 second, 4 other 27 Apr 16.7%
Navan
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 third 7 Jun 33.3%
Dundalk
Galloping
3 3 other 12 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
3 3 other 6 Sep 0%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 4 Aug 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 6 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 win 23 Sep 100%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 win 2 May 100%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 win 19 Sep 100%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 second 17 Jun 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Apr 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 9 Nov 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 25 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%