Thestral
Thestral is a 3-year-old still searching for that second career breakthrough. The horse has managed one win from eight races—a success at Newcastle back in December that now feels like a distant memory. Over the last six outings, the form has been patchy: a couple of placings mixed in with some well-beaten efforts, most recently finishing tenth just yesterday. With only one win in eight races, Thestral is winning roughly 1 in every 8 starts—respectable enough for a young horse still learning, but the eight-month gap since that sole victory suggests the opposition has been tightening up.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
37.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🏁 Next Race
Today
Bath
About 1 mile · Ideal conditions · 10 runners
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🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
What gives hope is that Thestral has shown genuine aptitude at specific distances. Over 7 furlongs to a mile, the horse has won 1 of 4 races—a 25% success rate at that trip, which is genuinely strong form. That Newcastle win came within this range, and it hints that when conditions and distances align, Thestral can get the job done. The trainer, Tony Carroll, runs a prolific yard at Cropthorne in Worcestershire that has saddled 136 winners this season alone, so there is undoubtedly expertise in the team. The challenge now is getting Thestral back into the winner's circle before the window of opportunity closes further.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 25% win rate
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Aug
5th
Ffos Las
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
8 Jul
10th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · 14 runners
15 Jun
3rd
Wetherby
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
12 May
2nd
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
12 Apr
10th
Musselburgh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 13 runners
25 Mar
8th
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 9 runners
19 Dec
🏆 Won
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 7 runners
22 Nov
5th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|
| Newcastle Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
19 Dec |
50% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
2 |
2 other |
8 Jul |
0% |
| Ffos Las Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
4 Aug |
0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
12 Apr |
0% |
| Wetherby Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
15 Jun |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
12 May |
0% |