:

The Lion In Winter

Three wins from eight races — a 38% win rate that works out at roughly 3 in every 8 races — already marks The Lion In Winter out as a horse operating well above the average. But the raw numbers only tell part of the story. This is a four-year-old who spent much of last season knocking on the door of the very highest level without quite breaking through, finishing second or third in four Group 1 races, the last three of them over a mile. That kind of consistency at the top end of the sport, even without a win, is the sort of form that tells you a horse belongs there.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Colt
Colour
Bay
Father
Sea The Stars
Mother
What A Home
Owner
Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
8
Career races
3
Wins
37.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Tomorrow
Curragh
About 1.3 miles · Unknown · 38 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The breakthrough came at The Curragh in July 2024, and from that point things accelerated quickly. Six weeks later, he landed a Class 1 — one of the top races in Britain — at York on the 21st of August, a result that confirmed the promise his placed efforts had been quietly signalling all along. Trainer Aidan O'Brien, whose yard at Cashel has sent out 144 winners already this season, spent the winter sharpening him up with a specific target in mind: the Lockinge Stakes at Newbury, one of the most prestigious mile races on the calendar.

The groundwork for that campaign began at Leopardstown in April, where The Lion In Winter won five weeks ago in what O'Brien described as a deliberate warm-up run — he admitted the horse got a little tired, but was clear that he hadn't wanted him peaking too early. "He has a lot of racing to do this year," O'Brien said, signalling that this is a horse being managed carefully over the long haul rather than aimed at one big day.

In Class 1 company specifically, he has won 1 from 4 races — a 25% win rate, or one in every four runs at the very top level. That is a respectable return in races where every rival is supposed to be exceptional. His jockey at Ascot, Christophe Soumillon, offered a detail that suggests there may be more to come: "He quickened up very well," Soumillon said — and a horse who can find another gear late in a race at this level is exactly the kind of horse who wins big days. Having raced just yesterday, The Lion In Winter is firmly in the thick of what looks like the most ambitious campaign of his career so far.

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M1F – 1M2F
Ok
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 May
5th
Newbury
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
15 Apr
🏆 Won
Leopardstown
1m1f – 1m2f · Yielding · 12 runners
14 Dec
DNF
sha_tin
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 14 runners
18 Oct
2nd
Ascot
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 16 runners
7 Jun
14th
Epsom Downs
1m6f – 2m · Good · 19 runners
15 May
6th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
21 Aug
🏆 Won
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
20 Jul
🏆 Won
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
2/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 15 May 50%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 win 20 Jul 100%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 win 15 Apr 100%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Jun 0%
sha_tin 1 1 other 14 Dec 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 16 May 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 second 18 Oct 0%