The most important detail is the ground. On wet or muddy ground, Thatwilldoso has won 3 of 7 races — nearly one in two. That is a remarkable conversion rate, and it tells you something clear: when the rain comes and the conditions get soft, this horse becomes a different animal. Plenty of horses tolerate heavy ground; this one appears to actively thrive in it. That kind of preference is useful information if you're following the horse through an Irish autumn.
The partnership with jockey Rory Cleary is another thread worth pulling. In six races together, the pair have won twice — that's 1 in 3, or 33%, which is an outstanding ratio at any level. When Cleary is in the saddle and the ground is soft, you would want to be paying attention.
Thatwilldoso picked up its first career win at Gowran Park in April 2025, and then topped that with a victory at Galway in August — Galway being one of the most competitive and well-attended festivals in the Irish racing calendar. Winning there as a five-year-old, on a big stage, in front of a crowd, suggests this isn't a horse that shrinks from an occasion. The recent form reads –-9-2-6-2-1 going back from today, meaning after a win, a couple of placings, and a quiet run, it was last seen finishing unplaced just yesterday. That blank at the top of the form line will need explaining, but one off-day doesn't undo what came before.
Coleman's yard has sent out 10 winners this season, which shows this is a team in good shape. Thatwilldoso, with soft ground, Rory Cleary on board, and a Galway win already banked, looks like a horse that has found its level and knows exactly what it's doing there.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopardstown Galloping |
3 | 3 other | 15 Apr | 0% |
| Naas Galloping |
3 | 1 second, 2 other | 12 Oct | 0% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 2 Apr | 50% |
| Roscommon Sharp |
1 | 1 win | 1 Jul | 100% |
| Galway Tight |
1 | 1 win | 2 Aug | 100% |
| Cork Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 3 May | 0% |
| Navan Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 26 Apr | 0% |
| Sligo Sharp |
1 | 1 second | 6 Aug | 0% |
| Listowel Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 22 Sep | 0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 | 1 second | 22 Oct | 0% |
| Killarney Sharp |
1 | 1 other | 7 Oct | 0% |