Supreme Dancer
Supreme Dancer broke through for a maiden win at Carlisle just days ago, ending a frustrating run of 15 races without a victory. The 3-year-old has shown promise in patches—picking up four places from his last six outings—but consistency has been elusive, with a single win from 16 career races (a 6% win rate). What makes that breakthrough significant is where it came: at Carlisle, where the horse has found genuine form, winning 1 from 5 races at the track (20% win rate), compared to nothing from 8 attempts at Class 6 level elsewhere.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
31.2%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
Richard and Peter Fahey's yard at Musley Bank has been in fine fettle this season, and Supreme Dancer's recent victory suggests the horse may finally be finding his feet on the track. He performs best over middle distances between 7 furlongs and a mile, and his sole win came over exactly that ground. However, a consistent partnership hasn't yet clicked—jockey Oisin Orr has ridden him seven times without finding the winner's circle, so the successful run at Carlisle came with a different partner. For a 3-year-old still searching for identity on the track, one win in 16 races is a modest return, but timing matters: the fact that it came this week, at a track where he clearly runs well, suggests the horse may finally be heading in the right direction rather than standing still.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
Class 6 (grassroots)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Aug
🏆 Won
Carlisle
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
20 Jul
2nd
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
15 Jun
8th
Wetherby
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
21 May
2nd
Catterick Bridge
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
22 Nov
7th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
1 Nov
5th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 7 runners
14 Oct
5th
Leicester
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 10 runners
14 Sep
2nd
Musselburgh
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
30 Aug
4th
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
14 Aug
2nd
Beverley
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Ethan Tindall Current Jockey
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Carlisle Undulating |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
19 Aug |
50% |
| Beverley Undulating |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
30 Aug |
0% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
2 |
2 other |
8 Jul |
0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
1 Nov |
0% |
| York Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
12 Jul |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
14 Oct |
0% |
| Wetherby Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
15 Jun |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
22 Nov |
0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
3 May |
0% |
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
21 May |
0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
1 |
1 second |
14 Sep |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
2 Aug |
0% |
| Ayr Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
20 Jul |
0% |