At four years old, Supido's overall record reads one win and one place from eight races, a win rate of around 1 in 8. That's modest on paper, but the numbers shift considerably when you look at where this horse is actually running. Seven of those eight races have come at Class 2 level — some of the better races in Britain — and Supido had drawn a blank in all of them before Chester. Getting off the mark at that level, after that many attempts, is no small thing. Plenty of horses never manage it.
The distance profile is also worth paying attention to. Over seven furlongs to a mile, Supido has won 1 from 3 — that's a win rate of 33%, or roughly 1 in every 3 races, which is a genuinely strong return at this level. Chester, with its tight turns and premium on tactical racing, clearly suited, and the combination of the right trip and the right track appears to have unlocked something. The recent form before this win — finishing 8th, 5th, 8th, 13th, 7th in the five races prior — was undeniably patchy, which makes the turnaround all the more striking.
Having raced just yesterday, Supido is very much a live, active part of the Williams string right now. With the win confidence banked and the yard firing on all cylinders, it will be interesting to see whether Chester and that seven-furlong-to-a-mile range become the blueprint going forward.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester Tight |
2 | 1 win, 1 other | 6 May | 50% |
| Ascot Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 26 Jul | 0% |
| York Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 22 Aug | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 13 Sep | 0% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 19 Nov | 0% |
| Southwell Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 31 Oct | 0% |