Sub Thirteen

The most interesting thread running through Sub Thirteen's career is what happens when the ground gets soft. On wet, slightly soft ground, this horse has won 2 of just 5 races — that is a 40% win rate, which is exceptional by any measure. Most racehorses operate in a fairly narrow band regardless of conditions, so finding one that visibly improves when the turf gets a little cut in it is the kind of detail that genuinely matters.

Bath is the other key. Sub Thirteen has won 2 of 6 races there, making it effectively one win for every three visits to that particular track. Its first career win came at Bath in April 2024, and its most recent win — seven months ago, in October 2025 — came there too. That is a course record that goes beyond coincidence. Something about Bath suits this horse, whether the track's distinctive shape, the ground it tends to produce, or simply familiarity built up over time.

The partnership with jockey William Carson is worth noting. Together they have won 3 of their 14 races, which works out at roughly 1 in every 5 — a win rate of 21%. That edges above the horse's overall career average and suggests the two tend to bring out the best in each other. Carson clearly knows this horse well by now.

Trained by Jeremy Scott at Brompton Regis in Somerset, Sub Thirteen operates mainly at Class 5 level — the bread-and-butter end of British racing, where fields are competitive and wins are hard to come by. That context matters: winning even 2 from 12 at that level is not as simple as it sounds. Scott's yard has been in decent form, sending out 18 winners this season. Sub Thirteen has not won in its last six races, with recent finishes reading 3-5-4-6-6-2, but it raced just one day ago and remains very much in action. The next time soft ground is forecast at Bath, it would be unwise to look past it.