Sir Alfie

Both wins came on normal ground conditions, and that detail matters more than it might first appear. On good ground, Sir Alfie has won 2 of 7 races — a rate of nearly 1 in 3 — which is a genuinely strong number. That suggests a horse with a real preference, one that comes alive when the conditions suit rather than just making up the numbers. The first win came at Down Royal in June 2025, with a second following at The Curragh in August of the same year. The Curragh is one of Ireland's most prestigious tracks, so winning there at any point in a young career is worth noting — it is not a place where ordinary horses tend to find themselves in the winners' enclosure.

What makes the current situation interesting, and a little puzzling, is what has happened since. Sir Alfie has not won in six races, with finishing positions of tenth, a blank, twelfth, eighth, ninth, and tenth — a sequence that reads less like a horse going through a rough patch and more like one that has genuinely lost its way. That last win at The Curragh was nine months ago now. The horse raced just yesterday, so the yard are clearly not giving up, and at three years old there is every reason to think there is more to come. But Sir Alfie will need to find something it has been missing for the better part of a year, and ideally on a dry day when the ground plays to its strengths.