What does offer some confidence is the trainer. M D O'Callaghan operates out of The Curragh in County Kildare, one of the heartlands of Irish racing, and the yard has already sent out 21 winners this season — a tally that suggests a team in good form and capable of having a horse ready on debut day. First-time-out winners are never a given, but they are far more likely to come from a yard firing on all cylinders than one that is not.