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Shallow River

Shallow River is a ten-year-old with the kind of CV that makes you want to back him every time the skies open. Across 21 races he has won 4 and placed 12 times — that is a win rate of roughly 1 in 5, which is solid enough, but the really striking number is what happens when the ground turns wet and muddy: 2 wins from just 7 races on soft or heavy ground, a win rate of 29%, or nearly 1 in 3. For a horse at this level, that is a meaningful edge. When conditions suit him, he becomes a genuinely different animal.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
10 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Brown
Father
Ocovango
Mother
Nicola's Girl
Owner
The Second Chance Partnership
Rating
127

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
4
Wins
19.0%
Win rate
avg ~10%
57.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The two Class 2 wins on his record — one of the top tiers of racing in Britain — tell you this is not a horse who has spent his career hiding in easy company. He won at Exeter in February 2024, then backed it up at Carlisle in December of the same year. Both performances came at the highest level he regularly faces, and he delivered. At his preferred trip of between a mile and six furlongs and two miles, the numbers get even more impressive: 2 wins from just 5 races, a 40% win rate. Find Shallow River at the right distance, on a wet day, in a quality race, and you have a horse at close to his ceiling.

Trainer Olly Murphy has had a tremendous season — 146 winners from his Warwickshire yard, which is the output of a training operation firing on all cylinders. That context matters, because it means Shallow River is competing for attention and entries in a busy, successful string. The fact that he keeps appearing in Class 2 company says the team still believes in what he can do.

The jockey picture is interesting. Bradley Harris has ridden him eight times and won just once together — 1 in 8, or 12% — which is noticeably below the horse's overall win rate. That one partnership win, though, came in the Carlisle Class 2, so when it clicks, it really clicks.

Recent form reads 6-1-8-7-1-3, which is the pattern of a horse who blows hot and cold — capable of finishing eighth one day and winning the next. He raced just yesterday, which means he is very much in active campaigning. At ten years old and with a Class 2 winner in the last two seasons, Shallow River is proving there is still plenty left in the tank.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 40% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 May
6th
Hexham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
15 Dec
🏆 Won
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
30 Oct
8th
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 9 runners
17 Apr
7th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
11 Feb
🏆 Won
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 12 runners
13 Jan
3rd
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
26 Dec
2nd
Wincanton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners
15 Dec
4th
Bangor-on-Dee
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 7 runners
5 Nov
2nd
Carlisle
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
22 Oct
2nd
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Paddy Brennan
25%
Win rate
2/8
Won / Rode
Bradley Harris
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wincanton
Galloping
4 1 win, 2 seconds, 1 other 26 Dec 25%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 second 15 Dec 50%
Exeter
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 11 Feb 50%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 30 Oct 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 win 28 Jan 100%
Ludlow
Undulating
1 1 other 9 May 0%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 second 16 Jul 0%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Dec 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 second 22 Oct 0%
Hexham
Undulating
1 1 other 9 May 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 other 10 Sep 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 second 1 Jun 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 third 13 Jan 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 29 Jan 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%