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Sam's Hope

There is a version of Sam's Hope that shows up at Southwell and becomes a different horse entirely. Across 11 races at that track, this six-year-old has won 3 times — which might not sound extraordinary until you consider that across the rest of its career, it has won just 3 times from 25 races elsewhere. Southwell, with its unique all-weather surface, seems to unlock something in this horse that other tracks simply cannot.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Awtaad
Mother
Delightful Belle
Owner
D Morgan And K J Parris
Rating
76

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
36
Career races
6
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The overall record tells a solid if unspectacular story: 6 wins and 13 places from 36 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 outings (17%). That is a respectable return at Class 6 level, where Sam's Hope has done most of its racing and picked up 5 of its 6 wins. Class 6 is the entry level of British racing, and competing there consistently is no embarrassment — it just means the horse has found its natural level and does its job honestly within it.

Where the profile gets genuinely interesting is over short distances. In sprint races under five furlongs, Sam's Hope has won 3 from 6 — a 50% win rate, which is remarkable by any standard. Winning half your races at any distance is the kind of number that makes trainers take notice. It suggests that when conditions align — a quick surface, a short trip, and ideally the Southwell track — this horse can be very hard to beat.

Martin Dunne's yard at Newmarket has been in good form this season, sending out 20 winners, and Sam's Hope contributed to that tally as recently as January 2026 at Southwell. The horse raced just yesterday and is clearly in active campaign. One curious footnote is the partnership with William Carson, who has ridden Sam's Hope eight times without a win between them — not necessarily anyone's fault, but a combination that hasn't clicked yet despite plenty of opportunities.

Recent form of 9-7-2-9-5-1 reads as patchy at first glance, but the two most recent efforts — a second and a win — suggest the horse may be finding its stride again. If Sam's Hope lines up next at Southwell over a sharp distance, on fast ground, the numbers say pay attention.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Course specialist at Southwell: 3 wins from 11 starts (27%)
Well suited by Sprint (< 5f) distances: 50% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Ok
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Sprint (< 5F)
Loves
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
Class 6 (grassroots)
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 May
9th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
30 Mar
7th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
14 Mar
2nd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 7 runners
20 Feb
9th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 12 runners
30 Jan
5th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
22 Jan
🏆 Won
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 8 runners
13 Jan
🏆 Won
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
18 Dec
5th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
29 Nov
5th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 13 runners
21 Nov
🏆 Won
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/8
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Ryan Kavanagh
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
11 3 wins, 2 seconds, 6 other 14 Mar 27.3%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
11 2 wins, 2 seconds, 7 other 30 Mar 18.2%
Kempton Park
Galloping
7 1 win, 1 third, 5 other 15 Jan 14.3%
chelmsford 3 1 second, 2 other 18 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 1 May 0%
Brighton
Undulating
1 1 other 30 Apr 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Jun 0%
Leicester
Sharp
1 1 second 17 Jul 0%