Saint Agatha

The recent run of form tells an interesting story: that second place suggests real ability, but the latest outing — an eleventh — is a sharp reminder that horses at this stage of their career can be inconsistent. At three years old, Saint Agatha is still learning the job, and the gap between that promising second and a disappointing eleventh is exactly the kind of inconsistency you'd expect from a young horse still finding her feet.

She runs out of the yard of J A Stack, based at Golden in County Tipperary, a stable that has sent out 15 winners already this season. That's a yard in decent form, which matters — horses trained by people who are currently getting results tend to be well-prepared and well-placed. Saint Agatha raced just one day ago, so the yard will be watching closely to see how she comes out of that run before deciding on the next step. A first win, when it comes, will have been earned the hard way.