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Rubaud

There are horses that show up, do their job, and go home. And then there are horses like Rubaud, who have quietly built one of the most consistent records in jump racing without ever quite getting the headlines they deserve. Eleven wins from 26 races — that's a win rate of 42%, or roughly 3 in every 7 races — is an extraordinary return at the top level of the sport, and Paul Nicholls, one of the most decorated trainers in Britain, clearly knows exactly what he has on his hands.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Air Chief Marshal
Mother
Fulgence
Owner
Brendan McManus
Rating
145

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
26
Career races
11
Wins
42.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
61.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes Rubaud particularly special is his relationship with certain tracks and certain conditions. On normal ground, he wins 9 from 13 races — that's 69%, or very nearly 7 in every 10. That is not luck; that is a horse who knows his job and does it brilliantly when the conditions suit. At Wincanton, the Somerset track practically belongs to him: 3 wins from 5 races, including back-to-back wins in November 2024 and November 2025. Nicholls runs one of the biggest yards in the country — 92 winners already this season — and yet Rubaud earns his keep at the very top of the programme, with 9 of his 11 wins coming in Class 1 races, the highest grade in Britain.

The partnership with jockey Harry Cobden is worth highlighting on its own. Together they have raced 20 times and won 11 of them — that's 55%, more than 1 in every 2 rides ending in victory. That kind of chemistry between horse and rider is rare, and it shows up in the results. Rubaud won the same Listed hurdle at Kempton three years in a row, in October 2024, February 2025, and October 2025 — a feat that Nicholls himself noted received barely a mention in the press, which feels like a genuine injustice. Three consecutive wins in the same top-level race is the kind of thing that should be on a poster.

At eight years old and still racing just yesterday, Rubaud is in the form of his life. Nicholls has been open about the fact that the horse is occasionally asked to dig deep — after a hard race at Kempton, he noted Rubaud looked flat in the coat and took time to recover before Wincanton — but the horse keeps finding more. The trainer has also hinted at possible targets like the National Spirit or the Kingwell Hurdle if conditions are right, with a move to chasing potentially saved for next season. For now, this is a horse doing something rare: making the very best races in Britain look almost routine.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 9 wins from 13 starts (69%)
Course specialist at Kempton Park: 5 wins from 10 starts (50%)
Course specialist at Wincanton: 3 wins from 5 starts (60%)
Strong overall win rate: wins 42% of races
Effective partnership with Harry Cobden: 55% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 1 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Apr
4th
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
11 Mar
DNF
Cheltenham
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
14 Feb
2nd
Wincanton
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 4 runners
26 Dec
3rd
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
8 Nov
🏆 Won
Wincanton
1m6f – 2m · Good · 4 runners
19 Oct
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 4 runners
1 May
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · 10 runners
3 Apr
5th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
22 Feb
🏆 Won
Kempton Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
8 Feb
2nd
Warwick
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 4 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Harry Cobden Current Jockey
55.0%
Win rate
11/20
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kempton Park
Galloping
10 5 wins, 2 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 26 Dec 50%
Wincanton
Galloping
5 3 wins, 1 second, 1 other 14 Feb 60%
Taunton
Undulating
2 2 wins 8 Dec 100%
Ayr
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 20 Apr 50%
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Mar 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Feb 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Apr 0%
Warwick
Sharp
1 1 second 8 Feb 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 1 May 0%