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Roarin' Success

There's a horse that knows how to tease you. Roarin' Success has been one of the more frustrating rides in Donald McCain's yard lately — not bad enough to write off, not quite good enough to win. The six-year-old has three wins and ten places from 26 races, a win rate of around 1 in every 8 or 9 races, and hasn't crossed the line first in any of its last six outings. The recent form reads 5-7-4-4-2-6, which tells its own story: competitive enough to finish second, inconsistent enough to drift back to seventh. It raced just yesterday, which means this is a horse that's very much in the thick of things right now.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Roaring Lion
Mother
Random Success
Owner
Hale Racing, Lyle Farming Company & Ptnr
Rating
100

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
26
Career races
3
Wins
11.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

McCain's operation at Cholmondeley in Cheshire is having a solid season — 55 winners sent out so far, which is the kind of output that marks a yard running at full tilt. Roarin' Success, though, hasn't been contributing to that tally lately. The last win came at Hamilton Park on 15 June 2025, now nearly a year ago. Before that, the first career win came at Wolverhampton back in November 2022. Three wins in roughly two and a half years of racing is modest, but what keeps this horse interesting is where and when it tends to show up best.

Give Roarin' Success wet, soft ground and the picture improves noticeably. On those muddier, slower tracks, the horse has won 2 of its 9 races — that's a win rate of 22%, or nearly 1 in every 4 outings. For context, that more than doubles its overall average. It's the kind of pattern that makes you sit up when rain is forecast. Most of its racing has come at Class 4 level — the bread-and-butter tier of the sport, not the glamour races but the ones where most horses make their living — and there it has won just 1 from 12, which is modest at roughly 1 in every 12 races at that grade.

The partnership with jockey Trevor Whelan is the one detail that stands out most starkly: 10 races together, zero wins. That's not unusual in racing, and combinations can go through long quiet patches, but it is a number worth noting. Put this horse on soft ground, though, and the whole conversation changes.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_soft ground: 2 wins from 9 starts (22%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to soft (some give)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
7F – 1M
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
16 May
5th
Uttoxeter
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
25 Apr
7th
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
10 Apr
4th
Thirsk
1m6f – 2m · Good · 5 runners
24 Feb
4th
Catterick Bridge
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
15 Jan
2nd
Newcastle
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 12 runners
28 Dec
6th
Catterick Bridge
1m6f – 2m · Good · 9 runners
24 Oct
11th
Newbury
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 13 runners
22 Aug
13th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
23 Jul
2nd
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
15 Jun
🏆 Won
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/10
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
Ben Curtis
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Millie Wonnacott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Charlie Maggs Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 10 May 25%
Doncaster
Galloping
2 2 seconds 23 Jul 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 31 Jul 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
2 2 other 24 Feb 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 13 Jul 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 15 Nov 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 24 Oct 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 win 15 Jun 100%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 win 26 Nov 100%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 second 15 Jan 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 other 29 Sep 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 10 Apr 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 23 Dec 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 16 May 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 22 Aug 0%