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Rich Belief

Rich Belief is a nine-year-old with a career that has quietly ticked along without ever quite threatening the top tier — but there are enough moments of genuine quality in its record to make it worth following. Across 36 races, it has won 5 and placed 11 times, meaning it has been in the first three roughly once in every two runs. That is a horse that keeps showing up and competing, even if the wins have not always flowed.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Make Believe
Mother
Realt Eile
Owner
I J Keeling
Rating
67

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
36
Career races
5
Wins
13.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The highlight of its career came in May 2022, when it won a Class 2 race at Kelso — one of the top races in Britain at that level. To win at that standard is not something every horse manages, and it tells you this is not simply a plodder making up the numbers. That win came just weeks after its first career victory at Limerick in April 2022, suggesting a horse that briefly found its very best form and ran with it.

Most recently, Rich Belief won at Chester in June 2024 — but that was 23 months ago, and the six races since have brought nothing better than a second place. The recent sequence reads 19th, 6th, 8th, 2nd, 7th, 17th, and with Rich Belief having raced just yesterday, it is clearly still active and being aimed at opportunities. The question the yard at Skerries will be asking is whether that Chester win marked the end of a chapter, or whether another bold run is still in the locker.

Karl Thornton has sent out four winners this season, so the yard is not short of form. Robbie Colgan, who rides Rich Belief most often, has partnered the horse in 8 races together for 1 win — winning roughly 1 in every 8 times they team up, a rate of 12%. At Class 4 level, though, the picture brightens: Rich Belief has won 1 from 3 races at that grade, a success rate of 33%, which translates to winning 1 in every 3 attempts. For a horse at this stage of its career, finding the right level matters, and Class 4 appears to be where the ammunition is kept.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 7 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
Long Distance (2M+)
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Apr
19th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 23 runners
8 Apr
6th
Gowran Park
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 11 runners
22 Sep
8th
Listowel
1m6f – 2m · Heavy · 18 runners
11 Sep
2nd
Clonmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
7 Aug
7th
Leopardstown
1m6f – 2m · Good · 11 runners
30 Jul
17th
Galway
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 23 runners
18 Jul
8th
Down Royal
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 12 runners
7 Jun
13th
Navan
1m6f – 2m · Good · 23 runners
13 Oct
18th
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 21 runners
5 Oct
7th
Gowran Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Robbie Colgan Current Jockey
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Won / Rode
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shane Crosse
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mr D McGill
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
B J Cooper
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
6 1 win, 5 other 25 Apr 16.7%
Chester
Tight
4 1 win, 1 third, 2 other 31 Aug 25%
Killarney
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 24 Aug 0%
Limerick
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 23 Jun 33.3%
Gowran Park
Undulating
3 1 second, 2 other 8 Apr 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 18 Jul 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 7 Aug 50%
Bellewstown
Sharp
2 2 other 8 Jul 0%
Galway
Tight
2 2 other 30 Jul 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 win 29 May 100%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Oct 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 second 11 Sep 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Jun 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%