The real story is that Rain Cap hasn't won in a year. Its last victory came at Pontefract on 27 July 2025, which means it has now gone 12 months without finding the winner's enclosure — a long spell of frustration for any horse, let alone one aged nine. In its last six races, spanning the past couple of months, it has managed only a couple of placed efforts, most recently finishing third just a day ago. This is a horse in decline, or at least in a drought that has made its recent form look thin and uninspiring.
Where Rain Cap does show a glimmer of consistency is over shorter distances. When racing at 5 furlongs to 6½ furlongs, it has won 5 of 32 races — a 16% win rate, notably better than its overall figures. This suggests that the horse performs more reliably when asked to quicken over a shorter trip rather than grind out longer distances. The best partnership has been with jockey Sean Kirrane, who has ridden the horse to 5 wins from 27 races together, a 19% win rate that outperforms Rain Cap's record with other jockeys. At nine years old and without a win in the past year, Rain Cap is a horse that has found its level and is holding on to it, but shows little sign of climbing back to better form.
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catterick Bridge Sharp |
26 | 4 wins, 4 seconds, 3 thirds, 15 other | 4 Aug | 15.4% |
| Hamilton Park Sharp |
9 | 1 win, 3 seconds, 2 thirds, 3 other | 16 Jul | 11.1% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
8 | 1 second, 1 third, 6 other | 6 Apr | 0% |
| Newcastle Galloping |
7 | 2 seconds, 1 third, 4 other | 14 Oct | 0% |
| Pontefract Undulating |
3 | 1 win, 2 other | 26 Jul | 33.3% |
| Redcar Galloping |
3 | 2 seconds, 1 other | 4 Nov | 0% |
| Carlisle Undulating |
2 | 2 other | 15 Jun | 0% |
| Musselburgh Sharp |
2 | 1 third, 1 other | 21 May | 0% |
| Thirsk Galloping |
2 | 2 other | 2 Jul | 0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 | 1 other | 21 Jul | 0% |