Plastic Paddy
Plastic Paddy is a veteran eight-year-old who has spent nearly three years chasing a victory. His last win came at Wolverhampton on 30 March 2024, which means he has not tasted success in 29 months — a lengthy drought that suggests he is running out of opportunities at this stage of his career. Over 52 races, he has won just 7 times and placed 17 times, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 7 races, which marks him as a reliable mid-field performer rather than a natural winner.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
32.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🏁 Next Race
Today
Navan
About 1 mile · Ideal conditions · 20 runners
→
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
What makes Plastic Paddy worth following is his clear preference for longer distances. He thrives at races between a mile and one furlong and a mile and two furlongs, where he has won 7 of his 29 attempts at that trip — a 24% win rate that stands out sharply against his overall record. This is the kind of statistic that suggests the horse knows what it likes and does it well, even if opportunities to showcase that skill are becoming rarer. He is also a Newcastle specialist, having won 3 of his 9 races at that track, which is a strong return for a specific course and hints at a genuine affinity for the place.
Trainer Tom McGuinness has had a modest season so far, but Plastic Paddy remains actively racing, with his most recent outing just a day ago. Jockey Frederick Larson, who has ridden him 14 times, has won twice aboard him — a 14% win rate that roughly matches the horse's overall profile. At eight years old and without a win in 2024, Plastic Paddy is in that difficult stage where the yard must decide if he still has races left in him. He will need to find his feet again at a distance and track that suit him, and perhaps return to the conditions where he once thrived.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Course specialist at Newcastle: 3 wins from 9 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 24% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 7 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Southwell in 6 attempts
⚠ Yet to win at Dundalk in 5 attempts
⚠ Struggles on RH Sharp tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Likes
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Likes
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 5 (entry-level)
Likes
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Left-handed, tight turns
Likes
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
7 Aug
DNF
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
23 Jul
DNF
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
2 Jul
DNF
Bellewstown
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
27 May
DNF
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 9 runners
13 May
DNF
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 11 runners
12 Dec
6th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 17 runners
5 Dec
5th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
26 Nov
8th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 17 runners
5 Nov
10th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 17 runners
10 Oct
13th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 17 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Newcastle Galloping |
9 |
3 wins, 1 second, 1 third, 4 other |
13 Mar |
33.3% |
| Kempton Park Galloping |
6 |
1 win, 1 second, 1 third, 3 other |
6 Mar |
16.7% |
| Southwell Galloping |
6 |
3 thirds, 3 other |
24 Nov |
0% |
| chelmsford |
5 |
1 win, 1 second, 3 other |
14 Mar |
20% |
| Dundalk Galloping |
5 |
5 other |
12 Dec |
0% |
| Lingfield Park Sharp |
3 |
1 win, 2 other |
20 Jan |
33.3% |
| Bellewstown Sharp |
3 |
3 other |
2 Jul |
0% |
| Wexford Sharp |
3 |
3 other |
7 Aug |
0% |
| Wolverhampton Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 other |
30 Mar |
50% |
| Gowran Park Undulating |
2 |
2 other |
20 Sep |
0% |
| Cork Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
10 Sep |
0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
8 Jul |
0% |
| Punchestown Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
13 May |
0% |
| Fairyhouse Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
13 Jun |
0% |
| Naas Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
4 Aug |
0% |
| Leicester Sharp |
1 |
1 third |
20 Sep |
0% |
| The Curragh Galloping |
1 |
1 other |
27 Jun |
0% |
| Windsor Sharp |
1 |
1 other |
1 Aug |
0% |