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Palmar Bay

Palmar Bay is a five-year-old who has quietly built one of the more solid records around at this level — five wins and ten places from 20 races, meaning this horse has finished in the top positions in three out of every four outings. That kind of consistency is genuinely hard to sustain, and it tells you this is a horse that turns up and competes every single time.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Exceed And Excel
Mother
Di Fede
Owner
Robert Ng
Rating
103

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
20
Career races
5
Wins
25%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The headline moment came on 3 August 2025 at Chester, where Palmar Bay won a Class 2 race — one of the top tier of races in Britain. Chester is one of the most distinctive tracks in the country, a tight, almost circular loop where experience and timing matter as much as raw speed. Winning there at that level is no small thing. It followed an earlier Class 2 victory at Salisbury back in October 2023, which means this horse has now shown it can deliver when the stakes are highest, not just once but twice.

The partnership with jockey Rossa Ryan is worth noting. In eight races together they have won three times — that's a win rate of 38%, or just under two wins in every five rides. For context, most jockey-horse combinations barely manage one win in ten. When Ryan is in the saddle, Palmar Bay appears to go up a gear, and that relationship clearly matters.

Behind the horse is Ralph Beckett's yard in Kimpton, Hampshire — one of the most productive operations in Britain right now, having sent out 109 winners already this season. That kind of firepower means Beckett's horses tend to be placed carefully and prepared thoroughly, so when one of his runners lines up, it is usually there for a reason.

The one thing Palmar Bay clearly needs is decent ground. On fast, dry conditions, this horse wins two races in every five — a 40% win rate that stands well above the overall career average. In wetter, muddier conditions, the record drops off noticeably. Last raced just yesterday and currently active, Palmar Bay heads into the summer months — when dry ground becomes far more likely — in solid form and with the profile of a horse that could be ready to add to an already impressive collection.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Effective partnership with Rossa Ryan: 38% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 8 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Good (firm-ish)
Soft (muddy)
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Avoids
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 May
4th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
7 Mar
4th
Wolverhampton
7f – 1m · Standard
4 Oct
6th
Redcar
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
23 Aug
9th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
3 Aug
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
14 Jun
6th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
1 Jun
🏆 Won
chelmsford
7f – 1m · Standard · 16 runners
3 Jan
3rd
Southwell
7f – 1m · Standard · 12 runners
4 Dec
2nd
Lingfield Park
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
18 Oct
3rd
Haydock Park
5f – 6½f · Heavy · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Rossa Ryan Current Jockey
37.5%
Win rate
3/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Jack Dace
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 12 Aug 33.3%
Salisbury
Undulating
2 2 wins 5 Oct 100%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 9 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 win 3 Aug 100%
chelmsford 1 1 win 1 Jun 100%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Mar 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 23 Aug 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Jul 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 28 Oct 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Oct 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 4 Dec 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 14 Jun 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Jan 0%