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Paddy's Day

Paddy's Day is a six-year-old that has carved out a reliable, if unglamorous, career for himself—the sort of horse that shows up, does his job, and doesn't embarrass anyone. Over 54 races, he has won 9 times and placed another 25, a win rate of roughly 1 in every 5.5 races. That's steady rather than spectacular, but at his level it's honest work.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Elusive Gold
Owner
Ontoawinner 1
Rating
85

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
54
Career races
9
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The real story here is Newcastle. Paddy's Day has become a course specialist there, winning 7 of his 16 races on the all-weather surface—a win rate of 44 percent that stands out starkly against his overall record. He won twice at Newcastle in the spring and summer of 2025, both in Class 2 races, and has clearly found something about that track that suits him. His most recent victory came on 9 December 2025, though it has been nine months since then without another win, a dry spell that includes six consecutive races without success.

What keeps Paddy's Day competitive is his affinity for normal ground conditions. On standard or good ground, he wins roughly 3 of every 10 races—a 30 percent win rate that suggests he really does thrive when the surface plays fair. Most of his racing has been at Class 4 level, where he wins about 1 in every 5.5 races, but he has shown enough to handle the step up to Class 2. He typically competes under Alex Jary, who has partnered him in 25 races and won 7 of them—a 28 percent win rate together that speaks to a working understanding between horse and jockey. Trained by Nigel Tinkler's Langton yard in North Yorkshire, which sent out 37 winners this season alone, Paddy's Day remains active and raced just yesterday, keeping the door open for another run at a track where he has already proved he belongs.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 7 wins from 23 starts (30%)
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Course specialist at Newcastle: 7 wins from 16 starts (44%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 13 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Southwell in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Loves
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
29 Aug
9th
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
3 Jul
3rd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
26 Jun
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard_To_Slow · 14 runners
6 Jun
2nd
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners
13 Apr
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
27 Mar
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
6 Feb
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
24 Jan
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 6 runners
13 Jan
4th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 7 runners
9 Dec
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Alex Jary Current Jockey
28.0%
Win rate
7/25
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/12
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
16 7 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds, 6 other 26 Jun 43.8%
Southwell
Galloping
5 2 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 13 Jan 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 18 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 19 May 33.3%
Haydock Park
Galloping
3 3 other 19 Jul 0%
Beverley
Undulating
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 29 Aug 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 3 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 26 Oct 50%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 29 Jul 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 7 Oct 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 third 2 Apr 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Jul 0%
Ripon
Sharp
2 2 other 8 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Jul 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 second 22 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 2 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%