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Paddy's Day

There are horses who travel the country searching for their best form, and then there are horses like Paddy's Day, who simply go to Newcastle and win. The six-year-old has turned the track into something close to a personal fiefdom, winning 7 of his 15 races there — nearly one in every two visits. To put that in context, his overall career win rate is 9 from 50 races, which works out at roughly 1 in every 5 or 6. At Newcastle, he operates at a completely different level. It is the kind of stat that makes you wonder whether he simply loves the place, or whether the place just suits everything about him.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Starspangledbanner
Mother
Elusive Gold
Owner
Ontoawinner 1
Rating
89

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
50
Career races
9
Wins
18%
Win rate
avg ~10%
46%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Trained by Nigel Tinkler at his yard in Langton, North Yorkshire, Paddy's Day has been a consistent earner across a career of 50 races — picking up wins or a place finish in 32 of them. Tinkler clearly knows how to place him well, and this season his yard has already sent out 37 winners, so there is no shortage of form flowing from that operation. The horse first announced himself with a debut win at Windsor back in May 2022, and his trainer noted at the time that he was an uncomplicated sort who took everything in his stride. That easy temperament seems to have served him well across three full seasons of racing.

The most important relationship in Paddy's Day's racing life is with jockey Alex Jary, who has ridden him to 7 of those 9 career wins from 24 races together — a win rate of 29%, or close to 1 in every 3 rides. That is a genuinely striking number and suggests the two have developed a real understanding. When Jary is in the saddle, something clicks.

Recent form tells a story of a horse coming back to his very best. After a mid-season run that included a couple of fourth-place finishes, Paddy's Day has climbed back up the results — finishing third, third, fifth, and then winning a Class 2 race at Newcastle in June 2025, one of the better levels of racing in Britain. He also won a Class 2 there back in March. These are not small wins. He raced just a day ago and remains very much in action. On normal ground, he wins roughly 1 in every 3 races — 7 from 23. Everything about his profile points toward Newcastle, dry conditions, and Alex Jary aboard as the perfect combination.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 7 wins from 23 starts (30%)
Excellent record on standard_to_slow ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Course specialist at Newcastle: 7 wins from 15 starts (47%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 13 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts
Yet to win at Southwell in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Sprint (< 5F)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Ok
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 Apr
7th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
27 Mar
5th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
6 Feb
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
24 Jan
3rd
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 6 runners
13 Jan
4th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 7 runners
9 Dec
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
20 Nov
6th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 11 runners
28 Aug
5th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 14 runners
29 Jul
11th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
12 Jul
8th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 18 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Alex Jary Current Jockey
29.2%
Win rate
7/24
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/12
Won / Rode
20%
Win rate
1/5
Won / Rode
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newcastle
Galloping
15 7 wins, 1 second, 2 thirds, 5 other 13 Apr 46.7%
Southwell
Galloping
5 2 seconds, 1 third, 2 other 13 Jan 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
4 1 third, 3 other 18 Aug 0%
Windsor
Sharp
3 1 win, 1 third, 1 other 19 May 33.3%
Haydock Park
Galloping
3 3 other 19 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 26 Oct 50%
Ripon
Sharp
2 2 other 8 Jul 0%
Ascot
Galloping
2 2 other 12 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Jul 0%
Beverley
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 third 18 Sep 0%
Redcar
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 7 Oct 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 29 Jul 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 third 2 Apr 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 second 22 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 2 Sep 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Nottingham
Galloping
1 1 other 12 Apr 0%