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Paddy The Squire

There is a horse in Iain Jardine's yard in Carrutherstown who has quietly become one of the more interesting stories of the current season. Paddy The Squire, a six-year-old who has won 4 of his 18 races — roughly 1 in every 4.5 outings — has transformed into a genuine force at the top level of British racing, and the reason behind that improvement is surprisingly simple: a routine operation and a step up in distance.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Golden Horn
Mother
Provenance
Owner
Ian Jones
Rating
101

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
4
Wins
22.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
61.1%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Jardine had Paddy The Squire gelded at the end of last season, and the effect has been dramatic. The trainer describes it as "a massive bonus" — the horse had always been talented but unfocused, saving nothing for the track. The gelding procedure changed that. He came back this season a different animal, winning first time out at Chester before stepping up in trip and winning the Lanark Silver Bell with his ears pricked, barely out of second gear. That is the detail that stands out: winning with his ears pricked means a horse is comfortable, barely extended. It suggests there is more to come.

The numbers back up the transformation. On fast, dry ground, Paddy The Squire has won 2 of just 4 races — a 50% win rate that is exceptional at any level. Over longer distances of a mile and six furlongs to two miles, the same picture: 2 wins from 4 races. The yard had to find the right conditions and the right trip, and once they did, the results followed quickly. At Class 2 level — one of the top tiers in British racing — he has won 1 from 7 attempts, which sounds modest but represents a horse competing consistently at a high standard and finding his feet there.

Jockey Andrew Mullen has been the constant through all of this, partnering the horse in 17 of his 18 races and winning on 4 of them — roughly 1 in every 4 rides together. That kind of long-standing partnership matters: a jockey who knows a lazy, holds-something-back horse is an asset.

With 57 winners already sent out by the Jardine yard this season, this is a stable in excellent form, and Paddy The Squire looks like one of its more exciting prospects heading into the summer. One more run is planned. If fast ground comes, keep an eye on him.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
Well suited by 1m6f – 2m distances: 50% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M6F – 2M
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
13 May
6th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 11 runners
6 Sep
5th
Haydock Park
1m6f – 2m · Good · 17 runners
22 Aug
🏆 Won
Hamilton Park
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 8 runners
8 Aug
🏆 Won
Thirsk
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
5 Jul
2nd
Haydock Park
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 16 runners
13 Jun
3rd
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 12 runners
8 May
🏆 Won
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 14 runners
21 Oct
4th
Pontefract
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 8 runners
12 Oct
7th
York
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 15 runners
28 Sep
20th
Newmarket
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 37 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
23.5%
Win rate
4/17
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Hamilton Park
Sharp
3 1 win, 2 seconds 22 Aug 33.3%
Chester
Tight
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 third 8 May 33.3%
York
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 13 May 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 21 Oct 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 6 Sep 0%
Ayr
Galloping
1 1 win 31 Jul 100%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 win 8 Aug 100%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Sep 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Jan 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Apr 0%