Nobotheratall

The overall record of 1 win and 3 places from 6 races — winning roughly 1 in every 6 — tells you this is a horse that competes honestly without always having the pace to seal the deal. The recent form reading 9-7-1-3-3 is a little mixed, with that winning run sandwiched between some less eye-catching efforts, suggesting conditions or circumstances matter quite a lot to how Nobotheratall performs on the day.

What lends some optimism is the yard behind it. Tristan Davidson, training out of Irthington in Cumbria — practically local to Carlisle — has sent out 21 winners this season, which is a genuinely productive campaign for a smaller operation. A trainer hitting those numbers has horses in good shape and knows how to find the right race for each one. The fact that Davidson managed to get Nobotheratall to the winner's enclosure at a track so close to home suggests a team that understands this horse and picks its spots carefully.

The horse raced just one day ago, so it is clearly in active work and being kept busy. Whether a second win is around the corner is hard to say — that Carlisle victory came six months ago, and the form since has drifted — but with a trainer in confident form and a horse that has already shown it can win, another good day is not out of the question.