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No But I Will

There is something quietly admirable about a horse that keeps showing up and keeps delivering. No But I Will is a nine-year-old with 24 races under its belt, four wins and 12 places to its name — a record that works out at roughly 1 win in every 6 races (17%), with a place in half of all its starts. That might not sound explosive, but the recent form tells a different story: two wins from the last six races, including a victory at Fakenham as recently as December 2025. This is a horse that is running well right now.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Telescope
Mother
Little Carmela
Owner
Exors Of The Late Donald Smith
Rating
115

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
24
Career races
4
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
50%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What trainer Julian Smith said back in November 2023 helps make sense of the journey. At that point, he described the horse as a big baby who had simply struggled physically in its early career — not lack of talent, just a body that needed time to catch up with itself. Smith flagged it as a three-mile-plus chaser, the kind of horse built for stamina rather than speed, and that patient reading of the horse appears to have paid off. The first career win came at Bangor-on-Dee in April 2023, and the horse has continued to find its feet since.

Ground conditions are worth noting. No But I Will has won on both normal and wet ground — 2 wins from 8 races on normal ground (25%), and 2 wins from 6 races in wet or muddy conditions (33%). That adaptability is a genuine asset, meaning the team are not constantly waiting for specific weather to roll in before they can plan a run. At Class 4 level — a solid mid-tier of racing — the horse has won 3 of its 15 races there (20%), which is a perfectly respectable record at that grade.

The one slight puzzle is the partnership with regular jockey Liam Harrison. In seven races together they have not yet found the winner's enclosure, which stands out given that the horse has four career wins across 24 outings overall. That is not necessarily a red flag — combinations sometimes just need time to click — but it is the kind of detail a keen observer would keep an eye on. Based at Tirley in Gloucestershire, the yard has had one winner this season. No But I Will, having raced just yesterday, is clearly at the heart of whatever plans Julian Smith is building for the months ahead.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 8 starts (25%)
Excellent record on soft ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on heavy ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Heavy (very wet)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 3 (mid-level)
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 Apr
6th
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
17 Mar
4th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
21 Dec
🏆 Won
Fakenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 5 runners
11 Oct
3rd
Chepstow
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
23 Aug
🏆 Won
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
19 Jul
2nd
Cartmel
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
3 Jul
3rd
Perth
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
5 Jun
2nd
Uttoxeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
20 Mar
DNF
Sedgefield
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
10 Mar
2nd
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Wetherby
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 17 Mar 50%
Cartmel
Tight
2 1 win, 1 second 23 Aug 50%
Bangor-on-Dee
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 second 22 Apr 50%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Aintree
Galloping
2 2 other 26 Dec 0%
Taunton
Undulating
2 1 second, 1 other 10 Mar 0%
Fakenham
Tight
1 1 win 21 Dec 100%
Perth
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Jul 0%
Kelso
Undulating
1 1 third 5 Nov 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 other 26 Dec 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
1 1 other 14 Apr 0%
Huntingdon
Galloping
1 1 other 23 Jan 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 third 11 Oct 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Nov 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 third 12 Jan 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 19 Feb 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Mar 0%