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My Trump Card

My Trump Card is the kind of horse that makes trainers tear their hair out — talented enough to hint at something special, but frustratingly reluctant to deliver on it consistently. The eight-year-old has won 2 races from 13, roughly 1 in every 6, and has not crossed the line first in any of his last six outings. His recent form reads 10-5-8-7-8-7, which tells its own story: the odd flash of promise, but no sustained run of form.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
8 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Shantou
Mother
Screaming Witness
Owner
Bective Stud
Rating
121

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
13
Career races
2
Wins
15.4%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

What makes the case for My Trump Card is where those two wins came — both at Navan, from 8 attempts there. That is a remarkable affinity with one track. Most horses dip in and out of course form without ever establishing a genuine pattern, but My Trump Card has found something at Navan that he has not found anywhere else. The problem is that his last win there came in January 2024, now 28 months ago, and what looked like the beginning of a course specialist's story has since stalled.

Gordon Elliott, one of the most powerful trainers in Ireland — his yard has sent out 209 winners already this season — has been candid about the puzzle My Trump Card poses. Elliott has noted that the horse works brilliantly at home but simply does not reproduce that form on a racecourse, which is the most maddening kind of horse to train. A switch to fences has not unlocked anything either, and the team is now weighing up whether to try again over them or bring him back over hurdles. Elliott's honest assessment is that he has ability — the question is whether anyone can find the key to releasing it.

After one of his Navan victories, Elliott observed that My Trump Card had a tendency to idle in front and was careless at his hurdles unless he met them perfectly. It painted the picture of a horse with the raw talent but not always the application. At eight years old, time is not endlessly on his side, but with a clean run this season at the track where he has shown his best, there is still a case to be made for him.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on soft_to_heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft to heavy (wet)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 Apr
10th
Kilbeggan
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
31 Dec
5th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
6 Dec
8th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 16 runners
16 Nov
7th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 13 runners
15 Feb
8th
Haydock Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
18 Jan
7th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 12 runners
1 Jan
DNF
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 11 runners
7 Dec
10th
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 21 runners
20 Jan
🏆 Won
Navan
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 14 runners
1 Jan
2nd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
Jack Kennedy Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Carl Millar
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Davy Russell
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Navan
Galloping
8 2 wins, 1 second, 5 other 6 Dec 25%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 1 Jan 0%
Kilbeggan
Tight
1 1 other 24 Apr 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Feb 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
1 1 other 31 Dec 0%