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Murcia

There is a horse that has won just one race from ten attempts — and that one win happened to be a Grade 1 at Aintree. That is Murcia in a nutshell: a five-year-old who has largely been finding things difficult, but who produced something extraordinary on the one day it all clicked.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Bay
Father
Doctor Dino
Mother
Belle Et Chic
Owner
Kenneth Alexander
Rating
138

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
10
Career races
1
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That day was 3 April 2025, when Murcia won one of the top races in Britain at Aintree, a result that even her trainer, the legendary Willie Mullins, admitted caught him off guard. Mullins — who operates one of the most powerful yards in racing, having sent out 230 winners already this season — had simply been hoping she would finish in the first four. Instead, she won. His explanation afterwards pointed to a combination of factors: faster, drier ground suited her far better than the wet conditions she had often faced, and a lighter weight than she had been asked to carry in previous races made a real difference too. Sometimes racing rewards patience and the right set of circumstances, and Aintree that day provided exactly that.

With a record of 1 win and 3 places from 10 races — winning roughly 1 in every 10 races she has run — Murcia would not be the first name most people reach for when looking at the form book. Her recent run of results, finishing 4th, 3rd, 4th, 15th, 5th and 16th in her last six outings, tells a story of a horse that runs respectably without threatening to win. But Mullins is clear-eyed about where she belongs: he has ruled out chasing — jumping the bigger, more dangerous fences — because he does not think she has the physical size for it, and instead has the Mares' Hurdle as her target. That is a significant race, and the fact he is pointing her towards it tells you everything about how he rates what she showed at Aintree.

The interesting question now is whether that Aintree run was a one-off peak or a sign of what Murcia can do when conditions fall perfectly in her favour. Mullins believes it was the latter — he described it as the race where she came of age. She raced just yesterday and remains in active training, so the story is far from finished.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Apr
16th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 21 runners
4 Apr
5th
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 19 runners
13 Mar
15th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 24 runners
1 Feb
4th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 20 runners
29 Nov
3rd
Fairyhouse
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 6 runners
3 May
4th
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 12 runners
3 Apr
🏆 Won
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
11 Mar
8th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
8 Feb
2nd
Naas
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 7 runners
26 Dec
8th
Leopardstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Michael O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 2 other 13 Mar 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Punchestown
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Apr 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 1 Feb 0%
Aintree
Galloping
1 1 win 3 Apr 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 second 8 Feb 0%