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Moonfall

There is a quiet confidence building around Moonfall at George Boughey's Newmarket yard, and it feels earned rather than optimistic. The three-year-old has raced five times, winning once and finishing in the places on three further occasions — a record that translates to wins in roughly 1 in every 5 races so far, with a level of consistency that suggests there is more to come. His best performances have come over seven furlongs to a mile, where he has won 1 from 3 races, and the feeling around the stable is that the horse has not yet shown everything he has.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mother
Lealas Daughter
Owner
Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obaid
Rating
90

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
5
Career races
1
Wins
20%
Win rate
avg ~10%
60%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

That sole win came at Newbury in June 2025, when jockey Billy Loughnane noted that Moonfall had a flat spot midway through the race before staying on strongly. The key detail was the trip: stepping up in distance on a flat, galloping track suited him perfectly, and Loughnane was clear afterwards that Moonfall needs every yard of the distance to show his best. Crucially, he also suggested the horse would handle quick, dry ground just as well — pointing to his half-brother Soprano as evidence that the family handles a fast surface without any problem.

Recent form tells an interesting story. His last five races read 5-7-1-3-2 in reverse chronological order, meaning his two most recent efforts have both been placed finishes after that win. The slight dip to fifth and seventh that preceded his Newbury victory now looks less concerning in context — Boughey has explained that the horse was simply not right following a below-par run in the Superlative Stakes, a top race that clearly caught him at the wrong moment. Once the team found their way back to a flat track and a longer trip, the real Moonfall reappeared.

Boughey, who has sent out an impressive 99 winners already this season, has drawn a direct comparison between Moonfall and Celeborn, a horse from his yard last year who followed a similar trajectory. The race being talked about as a target is the Britannia at Royal Ascot — a competitive mile race run on fast ground over a straight, flat track, which sounds tailor-made for everything Loughnane described. For a horse who has only just started to find his feet, that is a serious ambition — and at a yard operating at this level, it is not an idle one.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 33% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
5F – 6½F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
7 May
5th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
12 Jul
7th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
12 Jun
🏆 Won
Newbury
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
4 May
3rd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
17 Apr
2nd
Newmarket
5f – 6½f · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newmarket
Galloping
3 1 second, 1 third, 1 other 12 Jul 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 win 12 Jun 100%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 7 May 0%