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Moon Over Miami

Three wins from eight races at a 38% win rate — that is, winning more than one in every three times it runs — tells you this is a horse that does not do things by halves. When Moon Over Miami finds the right conditions, it delivers. The challenge has been finding those conditions consistently, and by Ralph Beckett's own admission, that has taken time and patience to work out.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Sea The Moon
Mother
Wiesenlerche
Owner
Valmont
Rating
93

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
8
Career races
3
Wins
37.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
37.5%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Tomorrow
Goodwood
About 1.8 miles · Slightly soft ground · 11 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Beckett trains out of Kimpton in Hampshire, and his yard has sent out 109 winners this season alone — that is the operation behind this horse, one of the busiest and most successful in the country. Even so, Moon Over Miami has been what Beckett diplomatically calls "a complicated horse" and "not an easy one". The trainer has spoken openly about having to find a specific way to train it, and about a long road to get to this point. The all-weather surfaces did not suit it at all. So when Moon Over Miami won a Class 2 race at Newbury in April 2025 — one of the better races below the very top level — it felt like a genuine breakthrough, and Beckett said as much afterwards.

The numbers back up what the conditions point to. On normal ground, Moon Over Miami has won 2 of its 3 races — 67%. At middle distances of a mile and three or four furlongs, again 2 wins from 3 races, the same 67%. These are not coincidences; this horse has a very specific sweet spot, and when the race fits the profile, the results follow. Jockey Hector Crouch, who has been aboard for 6 of its 8 races, has won 2 of those — roughly 1 in every 3 rides together — and the partnership looks settled.

What makes Moon Over Miami interesting looking ahead is where Beckett thinks it is headed. After noting that the horse pulled right throughout the Newbury win, he ruled out left-handed tracks like Chester and started talking about the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot — a famously long flat race, over two and a half miles, that sorts out the true stayers from the rest. Beckett believes this five-year-old will stay that distance well. Whether that proves right remains to be seen, but the trainer knows this horse better than anyone, has waited patiently to find what makes it tick, and clearly thinks the best is still to come.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 3 starts (67%)
Well suited by 1m3f – 1m4f distances: 67% win rate

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M3F – 1M4F
Loves
Long Distance (2M+)
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 May
11th
Chester
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 17 runners
4 Apr
5th
Musselburgh
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
11 Apr
🏆 Won
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
28 Feb
6th
Lingfield Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 10 runners
5 Feb
4th
Kempton Park
1m6f – 2m · Standard_To_Slow · 6 runners
4 Jan
5th
Southwell
1m3f – 1m4f · Standard · 11 runners
4 May
🏆 Won
Great Yarmouth
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 6 runners
23 Mar
🏆 Won
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Soft · 7 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Hector Crouch Current Jockey
33.3%
Win rate
2/6
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 win 23 Mar 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 win 4 May 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 win 11 Apr 100%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 8 May 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 28 Feb 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Feb 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jan 0%