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Model Approach

There is a horse in South Wales that has quietly turned a corner, and the numbers are starting to back it up. Model Approach, a 5-year-old trained by Mrs C Williams at her yard in Llancarfan in the Vale of Glamorgan, has won 3 races from 25 outings — roughly 1 in every 8 — and on the surface that looks modest. But look at what has happened recently and a more interesting picture emerges. The horse won at Ffos Las just last week, and raced again only yesterday. That kind of activity suggests a yard that has found its horse in form and is making the most of it.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Dawn Approach
Mother
Mainicin
Owner
Baytree
Rating
87

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
25
Career races
3
Wins
12%
Win rate
avg ~10%
28.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The career really only got going in October 2024, when Model Approach broke through for a first win at Sedgefield. Since then the progression has been real. The last six races read: a win, a third, a sixth, a seventh, a twelfth, and one unplaced run before that — and reading those in reverse order, the direction of travel is clearly upward. Three wins and seven placed efforts from 25 races also tells you this is a horse that competes honestly. It does not win every week, but it turns up and runs its race.

The conditions matter here. On normal ground, Model Approach has won 3 times from 16 races — that is just under 1 in 5, which is a genuinely strong record at this level. Take it off that surface and the form fades. Similarly, the horse does its best work over longer trips of two miles or more, winning 2 of its 10 races at those distances, or 1 in every 5. Both of those statistics point to a horse with a clear profile — train it for a dry-ground, staying test and it becomes a real contender.

One curiosity is the partnership with Isabel Williams, who has ridden the horse five times without a win. Given that the trainer shares the Williams name, there is likely a family connection at work here, and it is not unusual for a yard jockey to keep the ride through a lean spell. Whether that combination eventually clicks will be one of the more interesting storylines to follow. For now, Mrs C Williams has sent out 3 winners this season from her Welsh base, and with Model Approach bang in form and racing yesterday, this small yard is making a quiet but genuine noise.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 3 wins from 16 starts (19%)
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids
Left-handed, tight
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
14 May
DNF
Fontwell Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
5 May
🏆 Won
Ffos Las
1m6f – 2m · Good · 13 runners
2 Mar
3rd
Southwell
1m6f – 2m · Soft
18 Feb
6th
Ludlow
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 8 runners
1 Feb
7th
Market Rasen
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 8 runners
16 Dec
12th
Wincanton
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 13 runners
3 Dec
8th
Ludlow
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
7 Nov
14th
Exeter
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 18 runners
20 Oct
5th
Plumpton
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners
29 Sep
2nd
Newton Abbot
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Conor Ring Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Robbie David
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chester
Tight
2 2 other 28 Jun 0%
Market Rasen
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 1 Feb 0%
Ludlow
Undulating
2 2 other 18 Feb 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
2 2 other 28 Jun 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
2 2 other 17 May 0%
Ffos Las
Galloping
1 1 win 5 May 100%
Sedgefield
Sharp
1 1 win 1 Oct 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 win 20 Oct 100%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 5 Jun 0%
Newton Abbot
Sharp
1 1 second 29 Sep 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 1 Nov 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Dec 0%
Exeter
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Nov 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 third 2 Mar 0%
Wincanton
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Dec 0%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 16 Nov 0%
Uttoxeter
Sharp
1 1 other 25 May 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 second 22 Jun 0%
Fontwell Park
Tight
1 1 other 14 May 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 other 20 Oct 0%