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Lucky Manifest

Lucky Manifest is a 6-year-old who has quietly built a solid little record, winning 2 from 11 races overall — roughly 1 in every 5 or 6 attempts — but those numbers hide something more interesting underneath. This horse doesn't just win races: it wins them at Kelso, and it wins them there at a remarkable rate.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Lucky Speed
Mother
Inter Alia
Trainer
Owner
Raceshare - Lucky Manifest
Rating
122

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
11
Career races
2
Wins
18.2%
Win rate
avg ~10%
36.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Two wins from three races at Kelso is the kind of record that makes people sit up. That's winning 2 out of every 3 times it sets foot on that track, which in racing terms is extraordinary. Most horses are happy to win 1 in 6 or 7 at their best course; Lucky Manifest is doing something very different at Kelso. The first win there came on 7 May 2025, and the horse returned to the same track on 25 October 2025 and did it again. When a horse that clearly performs at an average level elsewhere becomes a different animal at one specific venue, it usually means the track suits something about the way it moves or settles — and Kelso clearly suits Lucky Manifest very well.

The ground matters too. On normal conditions, this horse has won 2 of its 4 races — a 50% win rate, or 1 in every 2 attempts. That is a genuinely eye-catching number. On any other surface, those wins dry up completely, so the combination of Kelso plus normal ground is clearly where Lucky Manifest is at its very best.

The trainer is Tom Lacey, based in Woolhope in Herefordshire, and his yard has been in fine form this season — 37 winners and counting. That is a team operating with real confidence right now, which is always a good sign for a horse still active and racing. Lucky Manifest ran just yesterday, so it is very much part of the current picture, and recent form shows a win, a second place, and a third in the last handful of runs — a horse in decent shape and clearly competing consistently.

At Class 4 level — the middle tier of British racing — Lucky Manifest has won 2 of 3 races, a 67% win rate, or 2 in every 3 attempts. That suggests the horse is operating comfortably at this level rather than being stretched by it. Put all of this together and the picture is clear: catch Lucky Manifest at Kelso, on normal ground, and you are looking at one of the most consistent performers on that track.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding (slightly soft)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 Apr
7th
Sandown Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
28 Feb
DNF
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 22 runners
26 Jan
3rd
Plumpton
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 7 runners
12 Dec
8th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
14 Nov
2nd
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 20 runners
25 Oct
🏆 Won
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 9 runners
7 May
🏆 Won
Kelso
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 6 runners
21 Mar
DNF
Musselburgh
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 7 runners
30 Aug
7th
Wexford
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 17 runners
18 Jul
6th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Toby McCain-Mitchell
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Stan Sheppard Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mr P J Cody
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Paddy Hanlon
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Kelso
Undulating
3 2 wins, 1 other 28 Feb 66.7%
Cheltenham
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 12 Dec 0%
Plumpton
Sharp
1 1 third 26 Jan 0%
Killarney
Sharp
1 1 other 18 Jul 0%
Wexford
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Aug 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 21 Mar 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Apr 0%
Clonmel
Sharp
1 1 other 16 May 0%