Luan

The numbers suggest Luan has found his sweet spot in terms of distance. Over races between one mile three furlongs and one mile four furlongs, he has won one of three attempts — a 33 per cent win rate at that trip, which is exactly the kind of pattern that matters when plotting future runs. His two career wins came at Newcastle in late June and Wolverhampton seven weeks ago, both victories that came at the right distances for him. The problem, however, is when he steps up in class. In three attempts at Class 5 level, he has yet to win, which tells you exactly where his ceiling sits: he is a lower-level horse who needs to stay within his comfort zone to deliver.

Recent form tells a mixed story. In his last six races, Luan has won twice but also finished ninth twice, which suggests inconsistency — the kind that makes him tricky to back. He raced just a day ago, so he is an active, regularly-run horse. For the yard looking to get the best from him, the message is clear: keep him at his preferred distance, stick to lower-grade races, and he will give you a decent chance. He is no star, but he is a genuine winner at the right level.