Little Miss India

She is a five-year-old with 20 races behind her, three wins and eight placed finishes in total — so she has come home in the first three around 55% of the time, which tells you she is competitive without always finishing the job. Her overall win rate of 15%, roughly 3 in every 20 races, is modest but honest, and her recent form is the most encouraging it has looked in a while. Those last six runs read 5-8-1-4-1-2, meaning two wins sandwiched around a second place, all within her most recent handful of outings. That is a horse running with confidence.

The trainer is James Owen, operating out of Newmarket — Britain's most famous racing town — and his yard has been in fine form this season, sending out 201 winners. That level of output suggests a busy, well-organised operation, and Little Miss India looks like one of the yard's more reliable performers at the tracks that suit her. Her most recent win came at Wolverhampton on 23 March, five weeks ago, and she raced again just yesterday, so she is being kept busy and clearly holds her form well.

One condition worth noting: she has won all three of her career races on normal ground, going 3 from 9 on a standard surface. When conditions turn wet or the ground becomes testing, those wins dry up entirely. The team will be watching the weather forecast as carefully as anything else. Keep an eye on her when Wolverhampton comes around again and the ground is riding normally — on that combination of factors, she has been almost impossible to ignore.