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Liberate

There is a strange and compelling story buried inside Liberate's record. This 4-year-old has managed just 1 win from 10 races over its career — that's a 10% win rate, or roughly 1 in every 10 outings — and recent form makes for uncomfortable reading: finishing 10th, 9th, 10th, 9th, 8th, and 5th in its last six races. On the face of it, that looks like a horse going nowhere fast.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Study Of Man
Mother
Be Free
Owner
Patrick John O'Brien
Rating
71

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
10
Career races
1
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
10%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

But here is the thing that changes the picture entirely. That one win came at Goodwood on 24 May 2025, and it was not just any win — it was a Class 2 race, which puts it among the better races run in Britain. For a horse that typically competes at Class 4 level, where it has started four times without ever troubling the winner, that Goodwood victory was a significant step up in class, and Liberate rose to meet it. That is genuinely unusual. Most horses that run in better company for the first time find the jump in quality too steep; Liberate found it a perfect fit.

The distance also matters. At a mile and one or two furlongs — a middle-distance trip that suits horses with stamina and a smooth, sustained gallop — Liberate has won 1 from 5 races, a 20% win rate. That is double the overall career average, and Goodwood at that trip is exactly where the horse found its best form.

Liberate is trained by Denis Gerard Hogan, whose yard in Cloughjordan, County Tipperary has sent out 56 winners this season alone — a busy, productive operation that clearly knows how to place a horse to its best advantage. That Goodwood run was a masterclass in finding the right race at the right time. The horse raced just one day ago and remains active, which means the yard — sorry, the team — are keeping Liberate busy and are presumably hunting for the conditions that unlocked that Goodwood performance once more. Whether Liberate can repeat it is the open question. The recent string of double-digit finishes suggests it has not yet found that level again. But any horse capable of winning a top-end race once is capable of doing it again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on standard ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Struggles on LH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
8 May
10th
Ballinrobe
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 14 runners
23 Apr
9th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 11 runners
1 Apr
10th
Dundalk
1m6f – 2m · Standard · 14 runners
12 Oct
9th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
2 Sep
8th
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
7 Aug
5th
Sandown Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 7 runners
28 Jun
4th
Chester
1m3f – 1m4f · Good · 7 runners
24 May
🏆 Won
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 12 runners
28 Apr
4th
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
5 Sep
5th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Soft · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Alan Casey(7) Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Goodwood
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 12 Oct 50%
Dundalk
Galloping
2 2 other 23 Apr 0%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Sep 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Sep 0%
Ballinrobe
Sharp
1 1 other 8 May 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Apr 0%