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Kerdos

There is something tantalising about a horse that has beaten the best company in Britain twice, yet keeps making you wait for the next big moment. Kerdos is a six-year-old with four wins from 27 races — roughly 1 in every 7 — but the raw numbers understate what kind of horse this actually is. Two of those victories came at Class 1 level, which means two of the top races in the country. Not every horse gets near that grade once. Kerdos has won there twice.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Profitable
Mother
The Mums
Owner
Michael Scaife/Liam Ferguson/Simon Murphy/H S Khunkhuna
Rating
96

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
27
Career races
4
Wins
14.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
29.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The first of those big days came at Beverley in September 2023, and trainer Clive Cox was effusive afterwards, talking about a horse with a "really big kick" who had barely been tested. A few months later, Cox was gone from the picture, but Kerdos reappeared under Stephen Thorne's care and went back to Haydock Park — where he had won on his career debut in 2022 — and did it again at the top level in May 2024. That makes Haydock something of a home from home, with two wins from the track across his career, and it is worth noting that Thorne's yard in Co Dublin has sent out 24 winners already this season, so this is not a quiet operation.

The puzzle is what has happened since. That Haydock win was 24 months ago, and Kerdos has not won in six races since. His recent results read 8-6-9-2-5-9 — mostly mid-pack, with a single second place offering a flicker of the old spark. Thorne has been candid about why his last run, a sixth at Haydock on his reappearance, was not the full picture: a bruised foot in the build-up and a horse that arrived fresh and not quite right. Those are the kinds of details that matter enormously at this level, where the difference between winning and finishing eighth can come down to two weeks of interrupted preparation.

The most curious subplot is his partnership with jockey Rossa Ryan. Seven races together and not a single win — an odd record given that Ryan is a high-quality rider and Kerdos is clearly capable of the very best days. On normal ground, though, Kerdos is a different animal: two wins from seven races at 29%, or roughly 1 in every 3.5. He raced yesterday and is clearly being kept active, and with a horse who has shown he can win at the top level twice, the next race always feels like it could be the one.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 8 starts
Struggles on RH Galloping tracks: 0 wins from 9 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Ok
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
17 May
8th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
27 Apr
6th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
4 Apr
9th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Soft · 11 runners
6 Feb
2nd
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 4 runners
4 Oct
5th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Soft · 12 runners
20 Sep
9th
Newbury
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
30 Aug
4th
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 10 runners
22 Aug
13th
York
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
1 Aug
8th
Goodwood
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
5 Jul
5th
Sandown Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 11 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/7
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Jack Kearney Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
Ben Curtis
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ascot
Galloping
4 1 second, 3 other 4 Oct 0%
York
Galloping
3 3 other 22 Aug 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
3 3 other 1 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 2 wins 25 May 100%
Beverley
Undulating
2 1 win, 1 other 30 Aug 50%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 17 May 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 2 other 4 May 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 win 10 Oct 100%
Newbury
Galloping
1 1 other 20 Sep 0%
Dundalk
Galloping
1 1 second 6 Feb 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 third 10 May 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Jul 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 second 25 Mar 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Apr 0%
The Curragh
Galloping
1 1 other 15 Sep 0%
Bath
Undulating
1 1 other 7 Apr 0%