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Kentucky River

There is a gap between where Kentucky River has been winning races and where it has mostly been asked to compete, and that gap tells the real story of this horse's season so far. A 4-year-old trained by Olly Murphy at his busy Wilmcote yard in Warwickshire, Kentucky River has managed 2 wins and 3 places from 16 races — a win rate of around 1 in every 8 outings. On the surface, that sounds modest. Dig a little deeper and things get more interesting.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Camelot
Mother
Patineuse
Owner
J R B Williams & Emdells Limited
Rating
107

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
2
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
18.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Both of Kentucky River's wins have come over distances of two miles or more, and that specialisation is striking. At those longer trips, the horse has won 2 from 9 races — roughly 1 in every 4 or 5 attempts, which is a genuinely healthy conversion rate at that distance. The first win came at Pontefract in August 2025, with the most recent at Huntingdon in early April 2026, about four weeks ago. Huntingdon suits front-runners and strong travellers, horses that can dictate a race over a distance, and Kentucky River clearly thrives when given that kind of test.

The puzzle is the Class 4 record. That is the level the horse has spent most of its career at, and in 8 races at that grade it has not won once. Zero from eight. Meanwhile, the wins have arrived elsewhere. It raises a genuine question about whether the framing of Kentucky River's racing has been quite right — or whether the right races at the right trips have simply been hard to find. Murphy's yard has been in fine form this season, sending out 146 winners, so the infrastructure and knowhow are clearly there.

Recent form makes for uncomfortable reading: the last six results show a win followed by two seventh-place finishes, a blank, and a ninth. Kentucky River raced just one day ago, so fatigue is at least a conversation worth having. A horse that has found winning form over long distances on good days but struggles for consistency needs everything to fall into place — the right trip, the right race, the right ground. When it does, there is clearly a horse capable of winning. The challenge is making it happen more than once every eight attempts.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Well suited by Long Distance (2m+) distances: 22% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Long straights
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 May
9th
Fakenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 12 runners
4 Apr
🏆 Won
Huntingdon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 7 runners
9 Mar
7th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good
9 Mar
7th
Taunton
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 10 runners
1 Mar
DNF
Huntingdon
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 21 runners
11 Feb
8th
hereford
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 14 runners
19 Jan
10th
Lingfield Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 18 runners
27 Dec
5th
Wetherby
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
17 Aug
🏆 Won
Pontefract
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Firm · 6 runners
19 Jul
2nd
Doncaster
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
33.3%
Win rate
1/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mason Paetel
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Huntingdon
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 4 Apr 50%
Taunton
Undulating
2 2 other 9 Mar 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 win 17 Aug 100%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Dec 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 4 Jul 0%
hereford 1 1 other 11 Feb 0%
Fakenham
Tight
1 1 other 4 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 second 19 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 17 May 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 19 Jan 0%
Sandown Park
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Jun 0%
Wetherby
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Dec 0%
chelmsford 1 1 other 7 Nov 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 19 Apr 0%