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Its On The Line

Nine wins from just 21 races tells you this is a horse that turns up ready to perform — that's a win rate of 43%, or close to winning almost half its races, which is exceptional at any level. Its On The Line is a nine-year-old trained by Emmet Mullins at Bagenalstown in County Carlow, a yard that has sent out 31 winners already this season alone. The horse has been a fixture at the top end of the sport for three years now, first winning at Cork back in April 2022 and since building into one of the most consistent performers in its division.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
9 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Brown
Father
Presenting
Mother
Ten Dollar Bill
Owner
John P McManus

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
21
Career races
9
Wins
42.9%
Win rate
avg ~10%
81.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers at Punchestown are particularly striking — three wins from four visits, a 75% win rate at a single track. That's not luck; that's a horse that has figured something out about that venue and keeps going back to prove it. Soft, muddy ground brings out the best in it too, with three wins from four races in those conditions. When the ground gets heavy and others struggle, Its On The Line tends to thrive.

The biggest win on its CV came at Aintree in April 2024, a top-level Class 2 race — one of the most prestigious events in Britain. More recently, it won at Down Royal on Boxing Day 2025, putting itself right back in the spotlight. Jockey Derek O'Connor, who has ridden this horse to six of its nine career wins together, was effusive afterwards: the horse "keeps finding," he said, and "knows how to win" — which sounds simple, but O'Connor means it as one of the highest compliments you can pay a racehorse. Plenty of talented horses don't quite know what to do when it matters most. This one does.

The one cloud hanging over an otherwise glittering record is Cheltenham. Four attempts at the Hunters' Chase there; four second-place finishes. Mullins was frank about it ahead of this year's Festival — they planned to "tweak one or two things" to finally get the horse over the line. It didn't happen again. O'Connor, gutted but gracious, called it "bitterly disappointing" but vowed the horse would make amends at Aintree and Punchestown. Given what this horse has already done at both those venues, nobody should bet against it. The story isn't finished yet.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on yielding ground: 3 wins from 4 starts (75%)
Course specialist at Punchestown: 3 wins from 4 starts (75%)
Strong overall win rate: wins 43% of races
Effective partnership with Mr Derek O'Connor: 46% win rate together
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good to yielding (mild give)
Soft (muddy)
Ok
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
1 May
2nd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 15 runners
9 Apr
9th
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 25 runners
13 Mar
2nd
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 24 runners
26 Dec
🏆 Won
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
2 May
🏆 Won
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
14 Mar
2nd
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 24 runners
8 Feb
3rd
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 9 runners
26 Dec
2nd
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 13 runners
3 May
🏆 Won
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding · 14 runners
11 Apr
🏆 Won
Aintree
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 22 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Mr Derek O'Connor Current Jockey
46.2%
Win rate
6/13
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
3/3
Won / Rode
Miss M O'Sullivan
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
4 3 wins, 1 second 1 May 75%
Cheltenham
Galloping
4 4 seconds 13 Mar 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
3 2 wins, 1 second 26 Dec 66.7%
Aintree
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 9 Apr 33.3%
Naas
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 8 Feb 50%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 win 18 Apr 100%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 win 5 May 100%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 second 15 Nov 0%
Tramore
Sharp
1 1 other 11 Apr 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 other 27 May 0%