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Hornica

There is a horse at Ben Pauling's yard in Naunton, Gloucestershire, that has taken its time to figure things out — but the signs are that it is finally getting there. Hornica, a six-year-old who has been quietly learning the ropes, picked up the first win of its career at Stratford-on-Avon just this week, converting after three places in seven attempts. That is one win from seven races, a 14% win rate, and while that is not a flashy record on paper, the shape of its recent form tells a more encouraging story: a second, a third, and now a winner in its last three completed runs.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Mare
Colour
Brown
Father
Affinisea
Mother
Manuels Sister
Owner
J Hornby & J Hornby
Rating
113

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
7
Career races
1
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
42.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The Stratford victory lands at exactly the right moment. Pauling's yard has been in terrific form this season, sending out 89 winners, so there is real depth of knowledge behind this horse's development. Pauling has spoken openly about the challenges Hornica has presented — a tendency to be too keen, to race with too much enthusiasm before it is needed. He admitted she was not ready when they tried her at Cheltenham, and he flagged that even on a recent run where she finished third, the keenness was still showing. But his faith in her was clear, and that faith now looks justified.

The most interesting friction in Hornica's story is what happens when the level rises. In three races at Class 2 — some of the better quality events in British racing — she has yet to win, going 0 from 3. That is the next puzzle to solve. Pauling sounded in no hurry to rush her up in grade, preferring to let confidence build at a level she can handle before testing her at the top end again. It is a sensible approach for a horse whose biggest enemy has been her own excitement.

Regular jockey Kielan Woods has partnered her in five of those seven races without getting his head in front together, so this week's winner came without that combination finally clicking — worth noting if they reconnect. Still, a yard with 89 winners knows what it is doing, and Hornica's trajectory over the last three runs suggests a horse that is maturing into itself. The question is whether the enthusiasm that has always held her back can now be turned into the kind of relentless galloping that wins bigger races. Pauling seems to think the tools are there.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
19 Apr
🏆 Won
Stratford-on-Avon
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 13 runners
18 Feb
3rd
Ludlow
1m6f – 2m · Soft · 12 runners
16 Feb
DNF
Lingfield Park
Long Distance (2m+) · Heavy · 11 runners
18 Jan
2nd
Windsor
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 6 runners
29 Nov
6th
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft · 10 runners
6 Nov
7th
Newbury
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Soft · 14 runners
17 Apr
4th
Cheltenham
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 20 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
0%
Win rate
0/5
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 29 Nov 0%
Stratford-on-Avon
Sharp
1 1 win 19 Apr 100%
Cheltenham
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Apr 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 other 16 Feb 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 second 18 Jan 0%
Ludlow
Undulating
1 1 third 18 Feb 0%