:

Holguin

There are horses that clock up miles without ever quite announcing themselves, and then there are horses like Holguin — ones that seem to save their best for one very specific place. This six-year-old has built a career record of 3 wins and 11 places from 16 races, winning roughly 1 in every 5 races overall, but strip that back to Chester alone and you get something much more striking: 2 wins from just 3 visits to the track. That is not a fluke. That is a horse that knows where home is.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Roxie Lot
Owner
Wathnan Racing
Rating
110

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
16
Career races
3
Wins
18.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
68.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Those Chester wins are not small occasions either. Both came at Class 1 level — the very top tier of British racing — which means Holguin has beaten quality fields on the biggest stages the sport offers. The first Chester win came in July 2023, the second in July 2025, almost exactly two years apart, which gives the whole thing an almost eerie quality. Same track, same time of year, same result. Holguin's very first win came at Newbury back in April 2022, which was the starting point, but Chester is clearly where this horse has flourished.

Holguin is trained by Hamad Al Jehani out of Newmarket — a yard that has sent out 18 winners already this season, so this is not a quiet operation. In the saddle, David Probert has been the regular partner, riding Holguin in 7 of its 16 races and winning twice together. That works out at winning 2 in every 7 rides — roughly 29% — which is a very productive partnership by any measure, and suggests the pair have built a real understanding over time.

One other detail worth noting: Holguin clearly prefers normal ground conditions. On a standard, well-maintained surface, the record reads 2 wins from 5 races — 40%, which is exceptional. That preference is worth remembering when planning where to run a horse and when.

Recent form reads 6-1-3-3-4-4 going back through the last six runs, meaning a win, four placed efforts, and one out-of-the-money finish. For a horse operating almost exclusively at Class 1 level — 9 of its 16 races have come at the top tier — that level of consistency is genuinely impressive. Most horses at this grade are simply making up the numbers. Holguin keeps finishing in the frame, and occasionally winning outright. With that Chester hoodoo already triggered once in 2025, it will be interesting to see where the team point this horse next.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 5 starts (40%)
Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 May
6th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
12 Jul
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
19 Jun
3rd
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 29 runners
31 May
3rd
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
26 Aug
4th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
1 Aug
4th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
15 Jul
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
24 Jun
6th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
2 Jun
2nd
Epsom Downs
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
13 May
2nd
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Won / Rode
Faleh Bughenaim Current Jockey
50%
Win rate
1/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Chester
Tight
3 2 wins, 1 third 12 Jul 66.7%
Ascot
Galloping
3 1 third, 2 other 19 Jun 0%
Newbury
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 14 May 50%
Goodwood
Undulating
2 2 other 26 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 9 May 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 second 18 Apr 0%
Epsom Downs
Undulating
1 1 second 2 Jun 0%
Redcar
Galloping
1 1 second 1 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 third 8 Sep 0%