Holguin
Holguin is a 6-year-old with a gift for Chester that keeps on giving. The horse has won two of its four races at the Cheshire track—most recently claiming a Class 1 victory on 12 July 2025, just over a year ago—and there is something about the tight turns and sharp finishes there that suits it. In a career spanning 18 races, Holguin has won three times and placed another 12, a record that reads like a reliable, honest performer rather than a star, but one capable of reaching the top when conditions align.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
📊 Key Numbers
Career statistics for this horse
66.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
🔍 Full Analysis
TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
The horse wins roughly 1 in every 6 races overall, but that figure rises noticeably on normal ground, where it has won 2 of 7 attempts (a 29% win rate). When Holguin has the right surface underfoot, the form lifts. It also prefers shorter distances between 5 and 6½ furlongs, where it has managed 1 win from 4 outings. Trained by Hamad Al Jehani at Newmarket, Holguin most often runs with jockey David Probert, who has steered it to 2 wins from 7 races together—a notably stronger partnership than the horse's overall record suggests.
Looking at recent form, Holguin has been busy. Its last six races (most recent first) show a run of 5-3-6-1-3-3, which paints a picture of a horse finding places but struggling to win. That last victory at Chester in July 2025 now feels like a distant high point. The horse competes mostly at Class 1 level, winning 2 of those 9 races (22%), and still has enough left in the tank to run actively—it was out just yesterday. For a horse with modest overall numbers but genuine strength at one venue and in particular conditions, Holguin remains a watch-and-wait prospect, particularly if it returns to Chester on normal ground.
⚡ Strengths & Risks
What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
✔ Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 4 starts
🎯 Where This Horse Thrives
Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Likes
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
📅 Recent Runs
The last 10 races, most recent first
28 Jul
5th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
11 Jul
3rd
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 9 runners
9 May
6th
Haydock Park
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
12 Jul
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 8 runners
19 Jun
3rd
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 29 runners
31 May
3rd
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 13 runners
26 Aug
4th
Goodwood
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 8 runners
1 Aug
4th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 9 runners
15 Jul
🏆 Won
Chester
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
24 Jun
6th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
🏇 Jockey Partnerships
Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
🏟 Track Record
Win rate at each course this horse has visited
| Course | Races | Results | Last visited | Win rate |
| Chester Tight |
4 |
2 wins, 2 thirds |
11 Jul |
50% |
| Goodwood Undulating |
3 |
3 other |
28 Jul |
0% |
| Ascot Galloping |
3 |
1 third, 2 other |
19 Jun |
0% |
| Newbury Galloping |
2 |
1 win, 1 second |
14 May |
50% |
| Haydock Park Galloping |
2 |
1 second, 1 other |
9 May |
0% |
| Epsom Downs Undulating |
1 |
1 second |
2 Jun |
0% |
| Redcar Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
1 Oct |
0% |
| Newmarket Galloping |
1 |
1 second |
18 Apr |
0% |
| Doncaster Galloping |
1 |
1 third |
8 Sep |
0% |