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Hectic

There is a horse at Liam Bailey's Middleham yard that has quietly become one of the more intriguing puzzles in the yard's string. Hectic is a six-year-old with three wins from 30 races — a 10% win rate, or roughly one win every ten outings — but buried inside that modest-looking record is a number that demands a second glance. Over distances between five and six-and-a-half furlongs, he has won 3 of his 12 races, a 25% win rate. That means at his preferred trip, he wins one in every four. That is a genuinely good horse at the right distance, and it tells you almost everything you need to know about how to read this animal.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Massaat
Mother
Ceedwell
Owner
Mrs Ailsa Stirling
Rating
72

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
30
Career races
3
Wins
10%
Win rate
avg ~10%
23.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The trouble is that Hectic has mostly been asked to operate at Class 4 level, and at that grade he has gone 0 from 10 — ten races, zero wins. It is a strange contradiction: a horse who can be devastating in short-distance races but has never managed to convert at the level he is most often entered at. Bailey has spoken candidly about Hectic's temperament being a factor in his development, and the trainer has noted that a bad experience early in his career knocked the horse back mentally for a period. When things click, though, Bailey describes him as almost self-sufficient — a horse that practically trains himself.

The recent form makes the picture more interesting. Looking at his last six races — 14th, 4th, 4th, 9th, 1st, 4th — that win in the middle of the sequence came at Ripon in June 2025, giving the yard some evidence that he can still produce at his best. He raced just yesterday, so he is bang in the middle of his season right now. Regular rider Billy Garritty has won 1 of the 6 races they have had together, roughly one in six, which is a reasonable partnership without being a dominant one.

Bailey's yard has been in good form this season with 17 winners sent out, and Hectic's first career win at Newbury back in July 2022 showed he can handle a big occasion. He is a horse who asks you to be patient with a patchy overall record but rewards you when you look at the specific conditions where he genuinely thrives. Get him at the right distance and he is a different animal entirely.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 1 wins from 6 starts (17%)
Excellent record on standard ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
Well suited by 5f – 6½f distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Yet to win at York in 6 attempts
Yet to win at Doncaster in 5 attempts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to soft (some give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 1 (elite)
Unknown
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Avoids
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
9 May
14th
Ascot
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 19 runners
21 Apr
4th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 11 runners
6 Mar
4th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard
15 Jun
9th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
4 Jun
🏆 Won
Ripon
5f – 6½f · Good · 12 runners
31 May
4th
York
5f – 6½f · Good · 22 runners
17 May
6th
Doncaster
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
13 Apr
11th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
1 Apr
3rd
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
17 Oct
🏆 Won
Southwell
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
16.7%
Win rate
1/6
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Clifford Lee Current Jockey
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Tom Kiely-Marshall
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Mason Paetel
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
York
Galloping
6 6 other 31 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
5 1 third, 4 other 17 May 0%
Newbury
Galloping
3 1 win, 1 second, 1 other 19 Aug 33.3%
Southwell
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 17 Oct 50%
Newmarket
Galloping
2 1 third, 1 other 5 Aug 0%
Pontefract
Undulating
2 2 other 21 Apr 0%
Ripon
Sharp
1 1 win 4 Jun 100%
Great Yarmouth
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Jul 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 6 Mar 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 9 May 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 third 1 Apr 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 8 Jul 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 15 Jun 0%
Goodwood
Undulating
1 1 other 27 May 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 13 Apr 0%